{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6bba95f5-7289-4b8d-af2d-af0da4efaa62", "symbol": "002128", "name": "Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.854, "architecture_energy": 23.586, "architecture_maturity": 62.751, "architecture_confidence": 66.674, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.97, "rotation_up": 29.57, "upward_expansion": 15.16, "deceleration": 46.89, "rotation_down": 26.94, "downward_expansion": 62.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.662666, 25.944727, 27.148844, 27.863678 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 27.639999, "trend_reference": 28.441499, "distance_from_trend": -0.028181, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.592136, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.41077, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.19642, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.002546, "excess_performance": -0.009946, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.028181, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001664, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.41077, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.233157, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.021964, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012069, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.002546, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.507144, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 62431631, "relative_activity": 0.905723, "balance": 1.507144, "dry_up": 1.183959, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081218, "annualized_volatility": 0.395217, "from_high_reference": -0.185113, "from_low_reference": 0.485394 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.441499, "fair_value_reference": 19.592136, "structural_low": 22.58, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.011981, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.013677, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.246014, "worst_return": -0.173065, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.058127, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.026485, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.152639, "worst_return": -0.056188, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.05555, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.020781, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.352666, "worst_return": 0.001518, 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"2026-07-24", "close": 26.52, "volume": 98147223, "typical_volume": 73674728.65, "trend": 28.407199, "fair_value": 19.396637, "relative_strength": 2.265739, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.585306, "energy": 47.142642, "activity_lines": [ 25.213333, 25.626727, 27.351367, 28.005536 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.98, "volume": 64732930, "typical_volume": 70574262.15, "trend": 28.411592, "fair_value": 19.491786, "relative_strength": 5.327214, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.125591, "energy": 31.637508, "activity_lines": [ 25.928, 25.701818, 27.20554, 27.913459 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.639999, "volume": 62431631, "typical_volume": 68930132.95, "trend": 28.441499, "fair_value": 19.592136, "relative_strength": 2.19642, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.853645, "energy": 23.585995, "activity_lines": [ 26.662666, 25.944727, 27.148844, 27.863678 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }