{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6bc11455-fee7-4b73-8c33-9bd9cfdbae80",
    "symbol": "FGQI",
    "name": "Fidelity Global Quality Income ETF Inc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.956,
    "architecture_energy": 74.543,
    "architecture_maturity": 53.489,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.694,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.85,
        "rotation_up": 69.37,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 61.83,
        "rotation_down": 24.0,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.165067,
        10.087091,
        9.904486,
        9.720616
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 10.338,
    "trend_reference": 9.504436,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.087703,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.121076,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.272984,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.741911,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.126624,
    "excess_performance": -0.044268,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087703,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04463,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.272984,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064421,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027419,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008575,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126624,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.844078,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 44592,
      "relative_activity": 0.850775,
      "balance": 3.844078,
      "dry_up": 0.873646,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014522,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.09081,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001931,
      "from_low_reference": 0.258967
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.504436,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.121076,
      "structural_low": 8.716426,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.017271,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009385,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.06196,
        "worst_return": -0.067891,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "positive_rate": 0.9,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.9,
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        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.130917,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "worst_return": -0.047556,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": 0.011902,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 53907.35,
        "trend": 9.379645,
        "fair_value": 8.053549,
        "relative_strength": -2.075094,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.053663,
        "energy": 89.948311,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.13,
        "volume": 20638,
        "typical_volume": 50322.85,
        "trend": 9.422954,
        "fair_value": 8.075269,
        "relative_strength": -1.317069,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.730571,
        "energy": 90.185802,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.04,
        "volume": 57016,
        "typical_volume": 51999.9,
        "trend": 9.46211,
        "fair_value": 8.097214,
        "relative_strength": -2.797527,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.676963,
        "energy": 66.837737,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.338,
        "volume": 44592,
        "typical_volume": 52413.4,
        "trend": 9.504436,
        "fair_value": 8.121076,
        "relative_strength": -2.741911,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.955526,
        "energy": 74.543447,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}