{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6bd10e4e-8c6b-491c-ba97-0f212d905acc",
    "symbol": "DONEAR",
    "name": "Donear Industries Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.441,
    "architecture_energy": 62.624,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.73,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.163,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.9,
        "rotation_up": 10.88,
        "upward_expansion": 13.4,
        "deceleration": 38.21,
        "rotation_down": 70.02,
        "downward_expansion": 89.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        84.714667,
        85.9,
        88.005191,
        88.408861
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 84.480003,
    "trend_reference": 88.611,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.046619,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 106.277582,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.2051,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.604033,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.073074,
    "excess_performance": -0.029365,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046619,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040363,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.2051,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.081179,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.07604,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074746,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073074,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.70782,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 89452,
      "relative_activity": 0.875814,
      "balance": 0.70782,
      "dry_up": 0.612226,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045455,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.236047,
      "from_high_reference": -0.274912,
      "from_low_reference": 0.08866
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 88.611,
      "fair_value_reference": 106.277582,
      "structural_low": 79.019997,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.034868,
        "positive_rate": 0.611111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.388889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004295,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.293341,
        "worst_return": -0.121822,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.014228,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.079737,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.079024,
        "worst_return": -0.165859,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.04987,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047069,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.301561,
        "worst_return": -0.144443,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.402545,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.29174,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.011596,
        "worst_return": -0.206507,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.10427,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.089813,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.048617,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.145348,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
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        "return": 0.003795,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.057722,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.066111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": -0.023196,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": true
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        "trend": 93.032333,
        "fair_value": 106.93786,
        "relative_strength": -2.831899,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 14.719083,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 209464.8,
        "trend": 92.797333,
        "fair_value": 106.765129,
        "relative_strength": -2.322512,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 210404.6,
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        "fair_value": 106.736955,
        "relative_strength": -0.12946,
        "stage": 1,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 210204.15,
        "trend": 92.923,
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        "relative_strength": 2.827765,
        "stage": 1,
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 17.586135,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 208766.5,
        "trend": 92.532333,
        "fair_value": 106.677795,
        "relative_strength": -0.079634,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -5.698318,
        "energy": 15.661713,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 208253.35,
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        "fair_value": 106.675025,
        "relative_strength": 2.525815,
        "stage": 1,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 18993,
        "typical_volume": 204677.65,
        "trend": 92.011,
        "fair_value": 106.665596,
        "relative_strength": 0.647736,
        "stage": 1,
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 11.96367,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 88.93,
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        "typical_volume": 196617.3,
        "trend": 91.560666,
        "fair_value": 106.663842,
        "relative_strength": -1.334646,
        "stage": 1,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -0.80366,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 90.747333,
        "fair_value": 106.61634,
        "relative_strength": -0.840853,
        "stage": 1,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 86.660004,
        "volume": 186963,
        "typical_volume": 134200.3,
        "trend": 90.259,
        "fair_value": 106.557324,
        "relative_strength": -5.653691,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.719087,
        "energy": 23.564022,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 63092,
        "typical_volume": 128800.0,
        "trend": 89.804,
        "fair_value": 106.482323,
        "relative_strength": -6.49112,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.643399,
        "energy": 44.491343,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.678668,
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          89.706429,
          89.613914
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 83.339996,
        "volume": 57805,
        "typical_volume": 125015.0,
        "trend": 89.363667,
        "fair_value": 106.416049,
        "relative_strength": -8.721935,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.938669,
        "energy": 63.906353,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.982666,
          87.843091,
          89.137,
          89.196882
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 85.790001,
        "volume": 60141,
        "typical_volume": 118184.15,
        "trend": 89.076667,
        "fair_value": 106.366436,
        "relative_strength": -3.534096,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.109984,
        "energy": 64.25493,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.476,
          87.201455,
          88.818143,
          88.966323
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 84.739998,
        "volume": 42723,
        "typical_volume": 111490.5,
        "trend": 88.784,
        "fair_value": 106.319336,
        "relative_strength": -6.846905,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.997884,
        "energy": 65.077919,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.943999,
          86.516,
          88.419762,
          88.686538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 84.480003,
        "volume": 89452,
        "typical_volume": 102135.85,
        "trend": 88.611,
        "fair_value": 106.277582,
        "relative_strength": -7.604033,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.44059,
        "energy": 62.62369,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.714667,
          85.9,
          88.005191,
          88.408861
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}