{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6bd59ac9-14b1-4e88-91e7-f2870e34c0b9",
    "symbol": "300837",
    "name": "Zhe Kuang Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -67.831,
    "architecture_energy": 67.163,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.934,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.349,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.37,
        "rotation_up": 23.62,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 57.53,
        "rotation_down": 64.73,
        "downward_expansion": 87.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        21.588667,
        22.6,
        25.911106,
        29.186671
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 22.91,
    "trend_reference": 33.914065,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.324469,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 25.960365,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.117501,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -28.14972,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.558744,
    "excess_performance": -0.566144,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.324469,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.049371,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.117501,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.40583,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.281497,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.237778,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.558744,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.283362,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9772520,
      "relative_activity": 1.253824,
      "balance": 0.283362,
      "dry_up": 1.320287,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.108039,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.415844,
      "from_high_reference": -0.665156,
      "from_low_reference": 0.221215
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.914065,
      "fair_value_reference": 25.960365,
      "structural_low": 18.76,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.042929,
        "positive_rate": 0.304348,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.695652,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04315,
        "regime_survival": 0.913043,
        "best_return": 0.287753,
        "worst_return": -0.313719,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_return": -0.104671,
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        "worst_return": -0.333077,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 8445845.6,
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        "fair_value": 26.278275,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 93.190887,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 19.9,
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        "typical_volume": 8115642.0,
        "trend": 34.687732,
        "fair_value": 26.163343,
        "relative_strength": -35.842589,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -84.945416,
        "energy": 85.164603,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.23,
        "volume": 9280589,
        "typical_volume": 7776291.45,
        "trend": 34.284399,
        "fair_value": 26.056127,
        "relative_strength": -30.202426,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.831674,
        "energy": 74.098702,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.256,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 22.91,
        "volume": 9772520,
        "typical_volume": 7794174.45,
        "trend": 33.914065,
        "fair_value": 25.960365,
        "relative_strength": -28.14972,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.831181,
        "energy": 67.163449,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}