{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6bdba28d-05a9-4f83-9dfa-e1ce9f258dc1", "symbol": "6151", "name": "Nitto Kohki Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "JPX", "country": "JP", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 87.732, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 33.778, "architecture_energy": 45.692, "architecture_maturity": 4.697, "architecture_confidence": 48.567, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.67, "rotation_up": 60.09, "upward_expansion": 56.39, "deceleration": 26.23, "rotation_down": 21.9, "downward_expansion": 19.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 1748.666667, 1730.418182, 1699.814286, 1693.648253 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1763.0, "trend_reference": 1705.5019, "distance_from_trend": 0.033713, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1928.392991, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.085767, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.614159, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.036573, "excess_performance": -0.198307, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033713, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004714, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.085767, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070759, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.146142, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.139134, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.036573, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.56703, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 96000, "relative_activity": 1.451576, "balance": 3.56703, "dry_up": 1.386558, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039836, "annualized_volatility": 0.21655, "from_high_reference": -0.080275, "from_low_reference": 0.147438 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1705.5019, "fair_value_reference": 1928.392991, "structural_low": 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"2026-07-31", "close": 1711.0, "volume": 103400, "typical_volume": 69195.0, "trend": 1717.271427, "fair_value": 1929.891314, "relative_strength": -17.546774, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.303828, "energy": 10.130376, "activity_lines": [ 1699.933333, 1694.436364, 1674.313718, 1685.005694 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1759.0, "volume": 111800, "typical_volume": 69840.0, "trend": 1715.533008, "fair_value": 1929.27338, "relative_strength": -15.978027, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.168173, "energy": 17.203441, "activity_lines": [ 1719.333333, 1708.563636, 1683.257143, 1687.69786 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 1755.0, "volume": 55600, "typical_volume": 65845.0, "trend": 1710.235909, "fair_value": 1928.94311, "relative_strength": -19.136031, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.483261, "energy": 31.257518, "activity_lines": [ 1732.8, 1719.818182, 1691.385714, 1690.244118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 1763.0, "volume": 96000, "typical_volume": 66135.0, "trend": 1705.5019, "fair_value": 1928.392991, "relative_strength": -14.614159, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.778232, "energy": 45.691675, "activity_lines": [ 1748.666667, 1730.418182, 1699.814286, 1693.648253 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }