{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6be04db0-66cd-4ff7-9276-09b49ba16d13", "symbol": "000900", "name": "Xiandai Investment Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.698, "architecture_energy": 20.604, "architecture_maturity": 75.499, "architecture_confidence": 72.764, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.66, "rotation_up": 26.97, "upward_expansion": 19.27, "deceleration": 46.92, "rotation_down": 24.97, "downward_expansion": 55.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.696667, 3.669818, 3.727519, 3.797062 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.66, "trend_reference": 3.882638, "distance_from_trend": -0.057342, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.774024, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.030213, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.725276, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.108276, "excess_performance": -0.115676, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.057342, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031667, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.030213, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105111, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.107253, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082348, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.108276, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.504825, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 59804000, "relative_activity": 1.138549, "balance": 0.504825, "dry_up": 1.172482, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044379, "annualized_volatility": 0.185681, "from_high_reference": -0.166686, "from_low_reference": 0.045714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.882638, "fair_value_reference": 3.774024, "structural_low": 3.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.026634, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.315789, "median_excess_return": 0.003949, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.102902, "worst_return": -0.088542, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.000157, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.012746, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.175622, "worst_return": -0.068855, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.054916, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.084577, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.197889, "worst_return": -0.055289, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 55555963.3, "trend": 3.898383, "fair_value": 3.773487, "relative_strength": -8.372345, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.747158, "energy": 33.593299, "activity_lines": [ 3.662, 3.660334, 3.748076, 3.820917 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.76, "volume": 52248011, "typical_volume": 53724713.75, "trend": 3.891378, "fair_value": 3.774247, "relative_strength": -4.115796, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.429401, "energy": 23.998549, "activity_lines": [ 3.704667, 3.674, 3.741557, 3.811989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.66, "volume": 59804000, "typical_volume": 52526485.3, "trend": 3.882638, "fair_value": 3.774024, "relative_strength": -10.725276, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.698121, "energy": 20.603682, "activity_lines": [ 3.696667, 3.669818, 3.727519, 3.797062 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }