{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6bed1a68-1d6c-4772-8715-7e6a0b478d31", "symbol": "JINDALPOLY", "name": "Jindal Poly Films Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 75.04, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -37.408, "architecture_energy": 44.214, "architecture_maturity": 44.788, "architecture_confidence": 53.368, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.97, "rotation_up": 23.6, "upward_expansion": 18.31, "deceleration": 43.91, "rotation_down": 61.44, "downward_expansion": 57.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 638.776656, 651.141811, 671.501899, 682.451607 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 620.0, "trend_reference": 656.111662, "distance_from_trend": -0.055039, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 653.963957, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.051936, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.121572, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.456596, "excess_performance": 0.500305, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.055039, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086565, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.051936, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141905, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.021216, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.215965, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.456596, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.714301, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 76362, "relative_activity": 0.494338, "balance": 0.714301, "dry_up": 0.561172, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091141, "annualized_volatility": 0.725754, "from_high_reference": -0.395976, "from_low_reference": 0.69863 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 656.111662, "fair_value_reference": 653.963957, "structural_low": 422.549988, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.005277, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.018394, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.310797, "worst_return": -0.141592, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.062169, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.052633, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.223327, "worst_return": -0.198377, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.043091, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.004188, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.067977, "worst_return": -0.09044, "sufficient": false }, { 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.947667, "energy": 13.150822, "activity_lines": [ 657.47332, 667.475448, 688.81309, 685.164833 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 633.299988, "volume": 36242, "typical_volume": 288367.25, "trend": 650.233328, "fair_value": 654.017398, "relative_strength": 5.412289, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.703632, "energy": 21.949133, "activity_lines": [ 650.006653, 659.867265, 680.085232, 684.402145 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 620.0, "volume": 76362, "typical_volume": 154473.2, "trend": 656.111662, "fair_value": 653.963957, "relative_strength": 2.121572, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.408152, "energy": 44.213955, "activity_lines": [ 638.776656, 651.141811, 671.501899, 682.451607 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }