{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6bf0b64a-7d59-429d-b422-7ccc6469ac7d", "symbol": "PEN", "name": "Peninsula Group Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.293, "architecture_energy": 61.836, "architecture_maturity": 77.24, "architecture_confidence": 60.374, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.94, "rotation_up": 27.98, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 63.2, "rotation_down": 43.4, "downward_expansion": 65.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.5836, 3.497127, 73.419063, 134.819394 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 3.58, "trend_reference": 211.495638, "distance_from_trend": -0.983073, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 212.987862, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.983192, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.801383, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.989879, "excess_performance": -1.018779, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.983073, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.350503, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.983192, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.609972, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.988014, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.835352, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.989879, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.249374, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.249374, "dry_up": 0.001553, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 8.281192, "annualized_volatility": 6.33678, "from_high_reference": -0.990527, "from_low_reference": 0.136869 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 211.495638, "fair_value_reference": 212.987862, "structural_low": 3.149, 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"volume": 221, "typical_volume": 330097.0, "trend": 247.007957, "fair_value": 216.308425, "relative_strength": -98.893937, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.842148, "energy": 67.718003, "activity_lines": [ 3.4586, 21.388183, 122.388508, 179.648095 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.58, "volume": 1585, "typical_volume": 305520.6, "trend": 235.180515, "fair_value": 215.246788, "relative_strength": -98.891062, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.33883, "energy": 66.838368, "activity_lines": [ 3.521133, 9.290431, 104.502291, 163.943065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.58, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 296988.5, "trend": 223.396394, "fair_value": 214.086611, "relative_strength": -98.828256, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.840336, "energy": 62.821415, "activity_lines": [ 3.566733, 3.466727, 88.224778, 149.001096 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.58, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 290814.85, "trend": 211.495638, "fair_value": 212.987862, "relative_strength": -98.801383, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.292793, "energy": 61.835998, "activity_lines": [ 3.5836, 3.497127, 73.419063, 134.819394 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }