{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6bf81347-bda6-4f62-8e72-4677fd46c6f6", "symbol": "FEDERALBNK", "name": "The Federal Bank Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.966, "architecture_energy": 87.821, "architecture_maturity": 44.798, "architecture_confidence": 83.892, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.21, "rotation_up": 83.99, "upward_expansion": 98.84, "deceleration": 39.65, "rotation_down": 9.16, "downward_expansion": 20.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 353.826666, 343.440909, 324.604287, 313.152043 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 356.25, "trend_reference": 300.639999, "distance_from_trend": 0.184972, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 206.742405, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.723159, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 32.773832, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.242155, "excess_performance": 0.285864, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.184972, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096579, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.723159, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161642, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.327738, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046338, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.242155, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.476121, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23677359, "relative_activity": 0.58715, "balance": 6.476121, "dry_up": 0.90342, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038316, "annualized_volatility": 0.250752, "from_high_reference": -0.041566, "from_low_reference": 0.890924 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 300.639999, "fair_value_reference": 206.742405, "structural_low": 253.300003, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": 0.015623, "positive_rate": 0.575, "directional_follow_through": 0.575, "median_excess_return": 0.009529, "regime_survival": 0.725, "best_return": 0.128082, "worst_return": -0.100317, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.012941, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.010194, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.250566, "worst_return": -0.15732, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.121212, "positive_rate": 0.888889, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": 0.127994, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.316791, "worst_return": -0.098767, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 41576092.8, "trend": 288.43, "fair_value": 201.034953, "relative_strength": 30.704973, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.046999, "energy": 90.145138, "activity_lines": [ 326.306667, 316.315456, 303.637859, 297.194087 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 349.0, "volume": 65075119, "typical_volume": 42782516.95, "trend": 291.135, "fair_value": 202.428748, "relative_strength": 36.092234, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.380991, "energy": 94.748304, "activity_lines": [ 334.576666, 323.773638, 308.797144, 301.101829 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 354.299988, "volume": 28730098, "typical_volume": 42975063.3, "trend": 294.211666, "fair_value": 203.848344, "relative_strength": 39.776419, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.405895, "energy": 93.261083, "activity_lines": [ 342.393329, 331.254544, 314.227143, 305.176989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 358.850006, "volume": 28242284, "typical_volume": 41983079.1, "trend": 297.275, "fair_value": 205.30245, "relative_strength": 36.326495, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.458468, "energy": 93.893189, "activity_lines": [ 349.703333, 338.235454, 319.76762, 309.347205 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 356.25, "volume": 23677359, "typical_volume": 40325885.45, "trend": 300.639999, "fair_value": 206.742405, "relative_strength": 32.773832, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.965704, "energy": 87.821353, "activity_lines": [ 353.826666, 343.440909, 324.604287, 313.152043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }