{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6c084548-8fa4-4599-ae27-500f7627c98a", "symbol": "SYK", "name": "Stryker Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 63.194, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 2.597, "architecture_energy": 11.528, "architecture_maturity": 9.317, "architecture_confidence": 58.743, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.09, "rotation_up": 34.39, "upward_expansion": 35.55, "deceleration": 31.49, "rotation_down": 18.48, "downward_expansion": 41.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 330.548, 327.081718, 320.733018, 324.794177 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 339.03, "trend_reference": 333.539712, "distance_from_trend": 0.016461, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 342.438556, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.009954, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.571405, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.051221, "excess_performance": -0.176846, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.016461, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034553, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.009954, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.150905, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135714, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171834, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.051221, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.611613, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11488327, "relative_activity": 0.946651, "balance": 1.611613, "dry_up": 1.015843, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065836, "annualized_volatility": 0.306376, "from_high_reference": -0.139335, "from_low_reference": 0.209885 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 333.539712, "fair_value_reference": 342.438556, "structural_low": 280.216774, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.044247, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": -0.005223, "regime_survival": 0.411765, "best_return": 0.090686, "worst_return": -0.116756, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.010961, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.031114, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.109793, "worst_return": -0.229482, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.185521, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.048956, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.248404, "worst_return": -0.114689, "sufficient": true }, { 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decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.738464, "energy": 12.026881, "activity_lines": [ 326.99551, 322.083214, 318.370847, 325.110498 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 325.7, "volume": 13985608, "typical_volume": 12212999.1, "trend": 334.457322, "fair_value": 342.026658, "relative_strength": -14.560275, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.033128, "energy": 10.985617, "activity_lines": [ 326.347333, 323.462485, 318.892955, 324.499166 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 339.03, "volume": 11488327, "typical_volume": 12135758.5, "trend": 333.539712, "fair_value": 342.438556, "relative_strength": -13.571405, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 2.596824, "energy": 11.528423, "activity_lines": [ 330.548, 327.081718, 320.733018, 324.794177 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }