{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6c101d74-afec-4c7f-8b0f-5925eb0542d0", "symbol": "6996", "name": "forcelead", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 61.455, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 0.736, "architecture_energy": 13.124, "architecture_maturity": 33.166, "architecture_confidence": 76.146, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.38, "rotation_up": 15.73, "upward_expansion": 40.95, "deceleration": 82.48, "rotation_down": 42.15, "downward_expansion": 37.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 176.8, 181.645455, 184.551296, 180.876655 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 174.0, "trend_reference": 174.778733, "distance_from_trend": -0.004456, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 194.623939, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.105968, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.240494, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.12631, "excess_performance": -0.315062, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.004456, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095217, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.105968, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042649, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.212405, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047775, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.12631, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.141264, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 440199, "relative_activity": 0.590778, "balance": 1.141264, "dry_up": 0.560478, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099248, "annualized_volatility": 0.322085, "from_high_reference": -0.183099, "from_low_reference": 0.344971 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 174.778733, "fair_value_reference": 194.623939, "structural_low": 150.221756, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"activity_lines": [ 182.933333, 187.972727, 185.570806, 179.979283 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 173.0, "volume": 417037, "typical_volume": 723808.05, "trend": 172.605704, "fair_value": 194.847997, "relative_strength": -17.888603, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.846053, "energy": 14.735622, "activity_lines": [ 178.2, 184.781818, 184.885611, 180.077146 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 185.0, "volume": 570250, "typical_volume": 735365.0, "trend": 174.001922, "fair_value": 194.775586, "relative_strength": -13.832749, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.950019, "energy": 17.975496, "activity_lines": [ 178.8, 184.154545, 185.300245, 180.876778 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 174.0, "volume": 440199, "typical_volume": 745117.0, "trend": 174.778733, "fair_value": 194.623939, "relative_strength": -21.240494, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.73559, "energy": 13.123683, "activity_lines": [ 176.8, 181.645455, 184.551296, 180.876655 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }