{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6c134725-85c8-4566-a25c-0bd6e1af1b40",
    "symbol": "ESGU",
    "name": "ISHARES ESG AWARE MSCI USA ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.742,
    "architecture_energy": 57.039,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.809,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.826,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.76,
        "rotation_up": 56.28,
        "upward_expansion": 81.62,
        "deceleration": 61.84,
        "rotation_down": 25.73,
        "downward_expansion": 8.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        158.808025
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 169.54,
    "trend_reference": 154.928807,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.094309,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 127.272597,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.332101,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.478413,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.134291,
    "excess_performance": -0.053163,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094309,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034718,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.332101,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01356,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014784,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053471,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134291,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.40463,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1622598,
      "relative_activity": 0.733114,
      "balance": 2.40463,
      "dry_up": 0.878013,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025389,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.140908,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005047,
      "from_low_reference": 0.241726
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 127.272597,
      "structural_low": 136.535734,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
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        "positive_rate": 0.641026,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.641026,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00118,
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        "worst_return": -0.046896,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.08873,
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.172884,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 124.608176,
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        "energy": 48.450921,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 2491151.95,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 2450154.75,
        "trend": 152.905556,
        "fair_value": 125.50895,
        "relative_strength": -4.264508,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 163.06,
        "volume": 1193842,
        "typical_volume": 2409295.45,
        "trend": 153.403422,
        "fair_value": 125.93701,
        "relative_strength": -1.624624,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.113034,
        "energy": 51.156155,
        "activity_lines": [
          163.455333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 162.05,
        "volume": 1796603,
        "typical_volume": 2360388.15,
        "trend": 153.79728,
        "fair_value": 126.35284,
        "relative_strength": -0.589963,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.483942,
        "energy": 48.965446,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 163.65,
        "volume": 3160162,
        "typical_volume": 2330124.95,
        "trend": 154.302204,
        "fair_value": 126.792726,
        "relative_strength": -0.109888,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.979996,
        "energy": 46.820874,
        "activity_lines": [
          163.359333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 169.54,
        "volume": 1622598,
        "typical_volume": 2213295.2,
        "trend": 154.928807,
        "fair_value": 127.272597,
        "relative_strength": -1.478413,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.742345,
        "energy": 57.038976,
        "activity_lines": [
          165.35,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}