{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6c1cc691-b88e-4f22-8d7d-45398345600e",
    "symbol": "SNVD",
    "name": "Leverage Shares -1x NVIDIA ETP Securities",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -95.725,
    "architecture_energy": 77.043,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.645,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.41,
        "rotation_up": 28.78,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 61.0,
        "rotation_down": 63.69,
        "downward_expansion": 85.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.83404,
        13.056573,
        13.370239,
        13.777038
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 11.826,
    "trend_reference": 14.700407,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.195532,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 14.076527,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.159878,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -51.78011,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.208958,
    "excess_performance": -0.318597,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.195532,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.280791,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.159878,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.201701,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.517801,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011738,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.208958,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.201053,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 621,
      "relative_activity": 5.592076,
      "balance": 0.201053,
      "dry_up": 1.839262,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0311,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.299885,
      "from_high_reference": -0.611529,
      "from_low_reference": 0.0
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.700407,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.076527,
      "structural_low": 11.826,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": -0.068217,
        "positive_rate": 0.242424,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
        "median_excess_return": -0.085208,
        "regime_survival": 0.969697,
        "best_return": 82.924563,
        "worst_return": -0.334381,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.134468,
        "positive_rate": 0.1,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.9,
        "median_excess_return": -0.180948,
        "regime_survival": 0.9,
        "best_return": 69.69231,
        "worst_return": -0.508866,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_return": -0.182221,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.231795,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 64.108473,
        "worst_return": -0.712289,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "median_excess_return": 10.787546,
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        "worst_return": -0.764716,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2022-08-26",
        "end": "2022-09-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.291919,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2022-11-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.109876,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2022-11-11",
        "end": "2022-12-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.140092,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.133162,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "fair_value": 13.856727,
        "relative_strength": -47.614487,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.327649,
        "energy": 68.553111,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.273427,
          13.385798,
          13.725663,
          14.369875
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.972,
        "volume": 5,
        "typical_volume": 86.35,
        "trend": 15.879833,
        "fair_value": 13.930831,
        "relative_strength": -48.100477,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -93.292362,
        "energy": 95.404732,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.16632,
          13.294742,
          13.614946,
          14.144702
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.676,
        "volume": 191,
        "typical_volume": 80.9,
        "trend": 15.320953,
        "fair_value": 14.009765,
        "relative_strength": -44.757443,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.838956,
        "energy": 67.621896,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.31928,
          13.344055,
          13.576652,
          14.002519
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.826,
        "volume": 621,
        "typical_volume": 111.05,
        "trend": 14.700407,
        "fair_value": 14.076527,
        "relative_strength": -51.78011,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -95.724918,
        "energy": 77.043259,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.83404,
          13.056573,
          13.370239,
          13.777038
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}