{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6c1ed916-d8ef-42d4-b493-b36cc98ad513",
    "symbol": "9906",
    "name": "Hsin Ba Ba Corporation",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 80.318,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -35.708,
    "architecture_energy": 19.878,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.194,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.326,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.52,
        "rotation_up": 12.02,
        "upward_expansion": 6.97,
        "deceleration": 57.69,
        "rotation_down": 49.16,
        "downward_expansion": 65.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        39.62,
        40.506364,
        40.142619,
        40.298172
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 39.349998,
    "trend_reference": 41.098333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.04254,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 71.37398,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.448679,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -42.447396,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.12067,
    "excess_performance": -0.562042,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04254,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05896,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.448679,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106441,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.424474,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.194882,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.12067,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.434024,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 284657,
      "relative_activity": 0.317395,
      "balance": 3.434024,
      "dry_up": 0.386621,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.126772,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.485139,
      "from_high_reference": -0.491602,
      "from_low_reference": 0.277597
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.098333,
      "fair_value_reference": 71.37398,
      "structural_low": 30.799999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.056971,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020838,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.015517,
        "worst_return": -0.105357,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.105172,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.05798,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.105172,
        "worst_return": -0.105172,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.187381,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019872,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.187381,
        "worst_return": -0.187381,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.126216,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047816,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.126216,
        "worst_return": -0.126216,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2022-07-01",
        "end": "2023-01-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.043058,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-02-03",
        "end": "2023-03-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.068607,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-03-10",
        "end": "2023-04-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.044488,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-06-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.111776,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2023-08-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.033956,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-08-11",
        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.009128,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02403,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-01-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.075,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-19",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 1.744681,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.259868,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.103448,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.148289,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.601225,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.074118,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -56.590075,
        "energy": 37.757658,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 39.099998,
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        "typical_volume": 1063366.3,
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        "energy": 45.982049,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 1138425.65,
        "trend": 45.075,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 1188102.8,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 44.349998,
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        "trend": 43.66,
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        "relative_strength": -45.322605,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 46.799999,
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        "typical_volume": 1239260.05,
        "trend": 43.705,
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        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 71.625714,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 1106257.25,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.650002,
        "volume": 472569,
        "typical_volume": 1037441.7,
        "trend": 42.266667,
        "fair_value": 71.485151,
        "relative_strength": -41.636789,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.760337,
        "energy": 12.238326,
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          41.013334,
          41.601818,
          40.349047,
          40.776667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 39.75,
        "volume": 418705,
        "typical_volume": 1016839.2,
        "trend": 41.811667,
        "fair_value": 71.459094,
        "relative_strength": -40.971954,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.361198,
        "energy": 17.316496,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.523334,
          41.398182,
          40.309047,
          40.614301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.0,
        "volume": 211041,
        "typical_volume": 985159.3,
        "trend": 41.438333,
        "fair_value": 71.413365,
        "relative_strength": -42.263585,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.940074,
        "energy": 19.386273,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.896667,
          40.962727,
          40.206905,
          40.432903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 39.349998,
        "volume": 284657,
        "typical_volume": 896854.65,
        "trend": 41.098333,
        "fair_value": 71.37398,
        "relative_strength": -42.447396,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.70758,
        "energy": 19.878418,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.62,
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          40.142619,
          40.298172
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}