{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6c1fa0e5-7d34-4868-a33f-56810d292422",
    "symbol": "002976",
    "name": "Suzhou Cheersson Precision Industry Group Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 54.907,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -14.806,
    "architecture_energy": 25.633,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.339,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.483,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.98,
        "rotation_up": 20.08,
        "upward_expansion": 19.78,
        "deceleration": 56.78,
        "rotation_down": 59.02,
        "downward_expansion": 40.11
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        21.150667,
        22.695525,
        23.630036,
        23.28756
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 22.610001,
    "trend_reference": 22.853795,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.010668,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.02688,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.128983,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.633944,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.058444,
    "excess_performance": 0.051045,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010668,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044053,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128983,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.141984,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016339,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00438,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058444,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.817299,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 22673083,
      "relative_activity": 0.664519,
      "balance": 0.817299,
      "dry_up": 0.981043,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.192388,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.676727,
      "from_high_reference": -0.245947,
      "from_low_reference": 0.293137
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.853795,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.02688,
      "structural_low": 18.139999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.121215,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021574,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.203714,
        "worst_return": -0.13262,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.149012,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.122146,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.376772,
        "worst_return": -0.037264,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.044578,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.128044,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.203302,
        "worst_return": -0.114145,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.389787,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.302915,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.410377,
        "worst_return": 0.369197,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.162435,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.069811,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.152381,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.150051,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.004307,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.133045,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022169,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.160343,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.077778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.14252,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042215,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.132416,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.293565,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 32286588.4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 33148974.95,
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        "fair_value": 20.085248,
        "relative_strength": -12.755635,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.540001,
        "volume": 26236806,
        "typical_volume": 33480244.2,
        "trend": 22.818846,
        "fair_value": 20.037601,
        "relative_strength": -7.653271,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.579971,
        "energy": 27.246842,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 22.610001,
        "volume": 22673083,
        "typical_volume": 34119531.75,
        "trend": 22.853795,
        "fair_value": 20.02688,
        "relative_strength": 1.633944,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.805786,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}