{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6c29ca07-a8bb-40d0-9866-50e92fd3d6e3", "symbol": "SIMAU", "name": "SIM Acquisition Corp. I Unit", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 79.58, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -14.642, "architecture_energy": 16.271, "architecture_maturity": 6.124, "architecture_confidence": 51.148, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.87, "rotation_up": 18.03, "upward_expansion": 14.1, "deceleration": 60.9, "rotation_down": 54.92, "downward_expansion": 43.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.912033, 11.2322, 11.5282, 11.404587 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 10.9201, "trend_reference": 11.218003, "distance_from_trend": -0.026556, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.570818, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.033042, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.339641, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.012057, "excess_performance": -0.152062, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.026556, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031952, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.033042, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013704, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.133396, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021419, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.012057, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.860172, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8486, "relative_activity": 1.427082, "balance": 0.860172, "dry_up": 0.650394, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.151062, "annualized_volatility": 0.681557, "from_high_reference": -0.392991, "from_low_reference": 0.04001 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.218003, "fair_value_reference": 10.570818, "structural_low": 10.79, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0103, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.269694, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.32834, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.023277, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.001844, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 9.96, "volume": 14656526, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 9.97, "volume": 1654559, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 9.98, "volume": 224928, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 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"trend": 11.213667, "fair_value": 10.564417, "relative_strength": -10.630208, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.210586, "energy": 18.734369, "activity_lines": [ 10.966, 11.650182, 11.628619, 11.443978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.9, "volume": 5258, "typical_volume": 5522.1, "trend": 11.217, "fair_value": 10.567553, "relative_strength": -9.485476, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.751869, "energy": 19.518651, "activity_lines": [ 10.926667, 11.439455, 11.577714, 11.423742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.9201, "volume": 8486, "typical_volume": 5946.4, "trend": 11.218003, "fair_value": 10.570818, "relative_strength": -13.339641, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.642139, "energy": 16.271442, "activity_lines": [ 10.912033, 11.2322, 11.5282, 11.404587 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }