{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6c2a4971-5394-4468-a675-61bc5854d292", "symbol": "603717", "name": "TianYu Bio-Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.941, "architecture_energy": 63.881, "architecture_maturity": 62.315, "architecture_confidence": 88.946, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.19, "rotation_up": 13.92, "upward_expansion": 16.18, "deceleration": 35.34, "rotation_down": 67.52, "downward_expansion": 87.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.697333, 5.96, 6.323952, 6.556409 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.01, "trend_reference": 6.899667, "distance_from_trend": -0.128943, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.113141, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.155085, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.893315, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.232439, "excess_performance": -0.189236, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.128943, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104172, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.155085, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.193454, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.208933, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073622, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.232439, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.638617, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 45636840, "relative_activity": 0.840786, "balance": 0.638617, "dry_up": 1.298978, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.137847, "annualized_volatility": 0.545082, "from_high_reference": -0.461952, "from_low_reference": 0.267932 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.899667, "fair_value_reference": 7.113141, "structural_low": 4.74, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.016867, "positive_rate": 0.566667, "directional_follow_through": 0.433333, "median_excess_return": 0.003944, "regime_survival": 0.766667, "best_return": 0.344633, "worst_return": -0.240109, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.0689, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.013731, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.259857, "worst_return": -0.213115, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.139072, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.099583, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.325967, "worst_return": -0.263965, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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88510120, "typical_volume": 50158474.3, "trend": 7.131, "fair_value": 7.137821, "relative_strength": -22.562249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.989268, "energy": 38.43827, "activity_lines": [ 6.303333, 6.409273, 6.646667, 6.846065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.06, "volume": 87130763, "typical_volume": 52371090.8, "trend": 7.038, "fair_value": 7.126859, "relative_strength": -32.106241, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.732643, "energy": 46.727758, "activity_lines": [ 5.888667, 6.131273, 6.481714, 6.712452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.57, "volume": 60750189, "typical_volume": 53707757.15, "trend": 6.960667, "fair_value": 7.11859, "relative_strength": -25.095075, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.740185, "energy": 66.110212, "activity_lines": [ 5.705333, 5.992182, 6.377476, 6.617742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.01, "volume": 45636840, "typical_volume": 54278811.4, "trend": 6.899667, "fair_value": 7.113141, "relative_strength": -20.893315, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.940597, "energy": 63.881098, "activity_lines": [ 5.697333, 5.96, 6.323952, 6.556409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }