{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6c416ba5-150d-4215-965a-b3e1c73ba6aa",
    "symbol": "C1BO34",
    "name": "Cboe Global Markets, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 63.061,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -11.748,
    "architecture_energy": 20.18,
    "architecture_maturity": 74.662,
    "architecture_confidence": 46.544,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 63.34,
        "rotation_up": 39.64,
        "upward_expansion": 19.77,
        "deceleration": 41.29,
        "rotation_down": 17.9,
        "downward_expansion": 60.44
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        733.954,
        705.79873,
        737.121899,
        743.46942
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 779.23999,
    "trend_reference": 745.134414,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.045771,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 582.520168,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.337705,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 5.989147,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.069484,
    "excess_performance": 0.126532,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045771,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004699,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.337705,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.214519,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059891,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001001,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069484,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.321101,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.321101,
      "dry_up": 0.021716,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.057288,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.488667,
      "from_high_reference": -0.15431,
      "from_low_reference": 0.262364
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 745.134414,
      "fair_value_reference": 582.520168,
      "structural_low": 630.400024,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.024192,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013413,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.059244,
        "worst_return": -0.003831,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.115404,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010273,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.119717,
        "worst_return": -0.134019,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.197422,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02548,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.352826,
        "worst_return": 0.0142,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.263007,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.274564,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.421372,
        "worst_return": 0.104641,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005106,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.097717,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.019234,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.011327,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.087283,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.066207,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.01958,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038618,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.077976,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011085,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.011231,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.211731,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 15.7,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -12.901957,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 46.3,
        "trend": 740.834308,
        "fair_value": 574.658874,
        "relative_strength": -9.405253,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -38.617388,
        "energy": 71.164657,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 676.890015,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 46.25,
        "trend": 740.151455,
        "fair_value": 576.872339,
        "relative_strength": -9.256095,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.4345,
        "energy": 55.481728,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 765.0,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 46.05,
        "trend": 742.405601,
        "fair_value": 579.650613,
        "relative_strength": 0.63643,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.598084,
        "energy": 24.65032,
        "activity_lines": [
          703.716671,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 779.23999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 46.05,
        "trend": 745.134414,
        "fair_value": 582.520168,
        "relative_strength": 5.989147,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -11.747856,
        "energy": 20.180218,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}