{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6c504eb7-9c88-4789-8d88-eef415ba38b0",
    "symbol": "CGR",
    "name": "iShares Global Real Estate Index ETF Common Class",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 57.69,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.28,
    "architecture_energy": 40.344,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.193,
    "architecture_confidence": 55.761,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.79,
        "rotation_up": 45.16,
        "upward_expansion": 76.41,
        "deceleration": 69.16,
        "rotation_down": 25.65,
        "downward_expansion": 5.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        33.796,
        33.79435,
        33.411611,
        33.061831
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 33.5,
    "trend_reference": 32.637285,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.026433,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.23222,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.145996,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.335629,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.060451,
    "excess_performance": -0.05997,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026433,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0341,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.145996,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008431,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063356,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005968,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060451,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.031797,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9000,
      "relative_activity": 0.58651,
      "balance": 2.031797,
      "dry_up": 1.979472,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022085,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.1688,
      "from_high_reference": -0.033468,
      "from_low_reference": 0.126153
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 32.637285,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.23222,
      "structural_low": 30.290001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.011013,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009238,
        "regime_survival": 0.68,
        "best_return": 0.041487,
        "worst_return": -0.060902,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.013467,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028344,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.083277,
        "worst_return": -0.0636,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.01438,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043255,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.100307,
        "worst_return": -0.141033,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.020878,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.069975,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.108095,
        "worst_return": -0.098615,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034142,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.038285,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.078726,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 49.764116,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 32.6189,
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        "typical_volume": 23605.0,
        "trend": 31.351022,
        "fair_value": 28.435426,
        "relative_strength": -6.380727,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 55.404202,
        "energy": 58.110088,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 32.886677,
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        "typical_volume": 23770.0,
        "trend": 31.433011,
        "fair_value": 28.48746,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 62.542052,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 24425.0,
        "trend": 31.454875,
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        "relative_strength": -7.081032,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 24685.0,
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        "relative_strength": -6.428077,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 33.347018,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 24700.0,
        "trend": 31.561058,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 23835.0,
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        "fair_value": 28.699965,
        "relative_strength": -5.51177,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 30.702671,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 23250.0,
        "trend": 31.725061,
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        "relative_strength": -4.508409,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "energy": 49.554365,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 34.119999,
        "volume": 1000,
        "typical_volume": 18425.0,
        "trend": 31.905717,
        "fair_value": 28.883826,
        "relative_strength": -2.404896,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.034913,
        "energy": 69.325767,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 34.25,
        "volume": 2000,
        "typical_volume": 17705.0,
        "trend": 32.041734,
        "fair_value": 28.946825,
        "relative_strength": -2.529834,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 77.976164,
        "energy": 78.883804,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 33.630001,
        "volume": 12700,
        "typical_volume": 17105.0,
        "trend": 32.160385,
        "fair_value": 29.001239,
        "relative_strength": -4.17204,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.175903,
        "energy": 69.644086,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.79095,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.860001,
        "volume": 88900,
        "typical_volume": 18255.0,
        "trend": 32.290335,
        "fair_value": 29.057006,
        "relative_strength": -3.145638,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.124278,
        "energy": 69.751669,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.847107,
          33.56345,
          33.089665,
          32.783254
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.27,
        "volume": 15000,
        "typical_volume": 16370.0,
        "trend": 32.42999,
        "fair_value": 29.116301,
        "relative_strength": -2.00807,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.774036,
        "energy": 70.692956,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.02,
          33.747539,
          33.24602,
          32.910975
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.82,
        "volume": 8600,
        "typical_volume": 15420.0,
        "trend": 32.551739,
        "fair_value": 29.176065,
        "relative_strength": -2.638998,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.992856,
        "energy": 46.601546,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.951334,
          33.809512,
          33.349267,
          33.000653
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 33.5,
        "volume": 9000,
        "typical_volume": 15345.0,
        "trend": 32.637285,
        "fair_value": 29.23222,
        "relative_strength": -6.335629,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.279734,
        "energy": 40.343581,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.796,
          33.79435,
          33.411611,
          33.061831
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}