{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6c5e5660-a463-4de4-959d-73a56210ba26",
    "symbol": "S",
    "name": "Singha Estate Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.123,
    "architecture_energy": 71.334,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.978,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.766,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.56,
        "rotation_up": 74.21,
        "upward_expansion": 88.5,
        "deceleration": 45.06,
        "rotation_down": 8.32,
        "downward_expansion": 15.16
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.548667,
        0.528545,
        0.512714,
        0.510006
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.55,
    "trend_reference": 0.505876,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.087224,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.68599,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.198239,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.478177,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.15392,
    "excess_performance": -0.038405,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087224,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014574,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.198239,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138076,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074782,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093054,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15392,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.766825,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16748600,
      "relative_activity": 1.234418,
      "balance": 1.766825,
      "dry_up": 3.173404,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.064336,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.338602,
      "from_high_reference": -0.143302,
      "from_low_reference": 0.203022
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.505876,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.68599,
      "structural_low": 0.476636,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.06,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041161,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.010638,
        "worst_return": -0.080162,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.200513,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.134779,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.161027,
        "worst_return": -0.24,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.405038,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.250038,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.38846,
        "worst_return": -0.421617,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.506139,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.360894,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.431765,
        "worst_return": -0.580514,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
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        "trend": 0.498539,
        "fair_value": 0.697533,
        "relative_strength": -6.84662,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.600983,
        "energy": 47.662256,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.55,
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        "typical_volume": 12874285.0,
        "trend": 0.500985,
        "fair_value": 0.693625,
        "relative_strength": -9.994602,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.566961,
        "energy": 58.029806,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.530667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.55,
        "volume": 9985900,
        "typical_volume": 13009000.0,
        "trend": 0.50343,
        "fair_value": 0.689777,
        "relative_strength": -8.539633,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.216553,
        "energy": 68.884322,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.542,
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          0.50819,
          0.507002
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.55,
        "volume": 16748600,
        "typical_volume": 13568010.0,
        "trend": 0.505876,
        "fair_value": 0.68599,
        "relative_strength": -7.478177,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.123005,
        "energy": 71.333654,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.548667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}