{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6c602fad-c46a-4d35-bc9a-7281c71d2593", "symbol": "AXPB34", "name": "American Express Company", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 78.891, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 10.371, "architecture_energy": 11.631, "architecture_maturity": 57.404, "architecture_confidence": 62.715, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.54, "rotation_up": 23.98, "upward_expansion": 34.71, "deceleration": 67.09, "rotation_down": 36.86, "downward_expansion": 23.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 172.492668, 174.328325, 169.524648, 167.435036 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 173.100006, "trend_reference": 168.357241, "distance_from_trend": 0.028171, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 146.776802, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.179342, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.44389, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.078503, "excess_performance": -0.021454, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.028171, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049024, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.179342, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074497, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.064439, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.200141, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.078503, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.046472, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 364, "relative_activity": 0.086573, "balance": 3.046472, "dry_up": 1.382609, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047853, "annualized_volatility": 0.306243, "from_high_reference": -0.186607, "from_low_reference": 0.156418 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 168.357241, "fair_value_reference": 146.776802, 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"energy": 72.741519, "activity_lines": [ 180.411696, 174.74081, 167.820432, 167.53993 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 165.410004, "volume": 4650, "typical_volume": 4357.65, "trend": 170.288152, "fair_value": 145.580513, "relative_strength": -12.076029, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.178314, "energy": 32.89222, "activity_lines": [ 175.570859, 173.958198, 168.00557, 167.128671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 171.229996, "volume": 296, "typical_volume": 4264.5, "trend": 169.293193, "fair_value": 146.17426, "relative_strength": -10.594896, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.50262, "energy": 18.440752, "activity_lines": [ 173.277999, 174.109089, 168.703477, 167.189435 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 173.100006, "volume": 364, "typical_volume": 4204.55, "trend": 168.357241, "fair_value": 146.776802, "relative_strength": -6.44389, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.370727, "energy": 11.631165, "activity_lines": [ 172.492668, 174.328325, 169.524648, 167.435036 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }