{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6c633ef5-0f43-4c75-ba61-8ce034c8f108",
    "symbol": "TCBS",
    "name": "Texas Community Bancshares Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 60.151,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 38.678,
    "architecture_energy": 21.573,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.967,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.236,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.57,
        "rotation_up": 33.23,
        "upward_expansion": 61.57,
        "deceleration": 86.61,
        "rotation_down": 23.28,
        "downward_expansion": 13.9
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 17.43,
    "trend_reference": 17.105433,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.018975,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 15.05322,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.157892,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -8.917981,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.022458,
    "excess_performance": -0.164996,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018975,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023522,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157892,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007745,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08918,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057793,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022458,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.750534,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.372773,
      "balance": 3.750534,
      "dry_up": 0.444944,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
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    "risk": {
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      "annualized_volatility": 0.188715,
      "from_high_reference": -0.122731,
      "from_low_reference": 0.125904
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 15.05322,
      "structural_low": 15.79346,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.005989,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
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        "worst_return": -0.074527,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "relative_strength": -9.081651,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 16.751437,
        "fair_value": 14.720744,
        "relative_strength": -11.66625,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 10916.35,
        "trend": 16.800922,
        "fair_value": 14.756427,
        "relative_strength": -11.246538,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 67.116304,
        "energy": 62.148839,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 11010.75,
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        "fair_value": 14.874729,
        "relative_strength": -5.935462,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 10844.7,
        "trend": 17.057256,
        "fair_value": 14.912244,
        "relative_strength": -8.331907,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.181627,
        "energy": 70.211841,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 17.45,
        "volume": 8343,
        "typical_volume": 10865.7,
        "trend": 17.092539,
        "fair_value": 14.94765,
        "relative_strength": -5.74966,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.916673,
        "energy": 57.018981,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.698667,
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          17.283323,
          17.178904
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 17.75,
        "volume": 1034,
        "typical_volume": 10837.3,
        "trend": 17.101397,
        "fair_value": 14.98436,
        "relative_strength": -2.431912,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.490865,
        "energy": 40.77833,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.7,
          17.59765,
          17.336114,
          17.22132
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 17.6,
        "volume": 4611,
        "typical_volume": 10990.8,
        "trend": 17.092671,
        "fair_value": 15.01949,
        "relative_strength": -3.574178,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.025193,
        "energy": 32.746229,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.653333,
          17.632914,
          17.368386,
          17.253488
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 17.43,
        "volume": 3706,
        "typical_volume": 9941.7,
        "trend": 17.105433,
        "fair_value": 15.05322,
        "relative_strength": -8.917981,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.678433,
        "energy": 21.57327,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.563333,
          17.620727,
          17.379662,
          17.275252
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}