{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6c8dd119-1b01-469c-a9c3-52d3fe3c6b34", "symbol": "E28", "name": "Frencken Group Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.626, "architecture_energy": 18.051, "architecture_maturity": 56.761, "architecture_confidence": 76.941, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.13, "rotation_up": 15.54, "upward_expansion": 41.71, "deceleration": 86.61, "rotation_down": 39.76, "downward_expansion": 33.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.588, 2.708545, 2.790476, 2.660952 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.57, "trend_reference": 2.428193, "distance_from_trend": 0.0584, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.486637, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.728734, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.298783, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.554582, "excess_performance": 0.399746, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.0584, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.231932, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.728734, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.495636, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.092988, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.574832, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.554582, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.746357, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24025700, "relative_activity": 0.914328, "balance": 0.746357, "dry_up": 0.9916, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.133792, "annualized_volatility": 0.527107, "from_high_reference": -0.269886, "from_low_reference": 0.981795 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.428193, "fair_value_reference": 1.486637, "structural_low": 1.682876, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.038217, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.017258, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.224298, "worst_return": -0.159483, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.028169, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.083923, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.327103, "worst_return": -0.245614, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.144927, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.163386, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.401408, "worst_return": -0.342105, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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34.528658, "energy": 20.290624, "activity_lines": [ 2.805333, 2.891455, 2.818062, 2.617342 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.69, "volume": 20725100, "typical_volume": 26987970.0, "trend": 2.354236, "fair_value": 1.46443, "relative_strength": 17.290267, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.112762, "energy": 20.645543, "activity_lines": [ 2.74, 2.842182, 2.822677, 2.641852 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.47, "volume": 32221700, "typical_volume": 26735445.0, "trend": 2.389713, "fair_value": 1.475183, "relative_strength": 6.701243, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.521137, "energy": 14.604233, "activity_lines": [ 2.630667, 2.761818, 2.803005, 2.64932 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.57, "volume": 24025700, "typical_volume": 26276880.0, "trend": 2.428193, "fair_value": 1.486637, "relative_strength": 9.298783, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.625708, "energy": 18.05054, "activity_lines": [ 2.588, 2.708545, 2.790476, 2.660952 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }