{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6c97c179-73b7-4c4a-a26b-709773f859c4", "symbol": "XDUE", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI EMU UCITS ETF 3C - CHF Hedged", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.791, "architecture_energy": 61.79, "architecture_maturity": 55.752, "architecture_confidence": 72.429, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.12, "rotation_up": 53.77, "upward_expansion": 80.93, "deceleration": 66.59, "rotation_down": 27.11, "downward_expansion": 9.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.019333, 28.904545, 28.398524, 27.905849 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 29.695, "trend_reference": 27.4065, "distance_from_trend": 0.083502, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.194267, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.280273, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.209006, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.103083, "excess_performance": 0.0202, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.083502, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038682, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.280273, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069324, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.01209, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020867, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.103083, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.365004, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14602, "relative_activity": 0.91029, "balance": 1.365004, "dry_up": 0.727244, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020607, "annualized_volatility": 0.173889, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.24117 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.4065, "fair_value_reference": 23.194267, "structural_low": 24.395, "invalidation": "A 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"up", "direction": 64.006984, "energy": 67.072858, "activity_lines": [ 28.759, 28.581182, 27.934214, 27.55057 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.635, "volume": 5808, "typical_volume": 17947.55, "trend": 27.219333, "fair_value": 23.067793, "relative_strength": -0.975182, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.69783, "energy": 54.602889, "activity_lines": [ 28.695666, 28.64, 28.062548, 27.647892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.834999, "volume": 8031, "typical_volume": 16482.35, "trend": 27.312333, "fair_value": 23.12812, "relative_strength": -0.369458, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.033301, "energy": 48.112865, "activity_lines": [ 28.722333, 28.703909, 28.196809, 27.752129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.695, "volume": 14602, "typical_volume": 16041.05, "trend": 27.4065, "fair_value": 23.194267, "relative_strength": 1.209006, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.791033, "energy": 61.790401, "activity_lines": [ 29.019333, 28.904545, 28.398524, 27.905849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }