{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6c9996d6-1e36-4afb-aa02-d987e80006de",
    "symbol": "601958",
    "name": "Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 24.872,
    "architecture_energy": 22.994,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.366,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.69,
        "rotation_up": 21.52,
        "upward_expansion": 48.53,
        "deceleration": 90.45,
        "rotation_down": 46.95,
        "downward_expansion": 30.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        21.544407,
        22.571422,
        22.530631,
        22.07737
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 23.76,
    "trend_reference": 21.461281,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.10711,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.937031,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.836588,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 28.89908,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.157895,
    "excess_performance": 0.201099,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10711,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.155406,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.836588,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068564,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.288991,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039377,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157895,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.876079,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 287933596,
      "relative_activity": 1.169498,
      "balance": 2.876079,
      "dry_up": 1.159642,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.138611,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.610767,
      "from_high_reference": -0.201613,
      "from_low_reference": 0.965861
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.461281,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.937031,
      "structural_low": 17.469999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.019793,
        "positive_rate": 0.473684,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.473684,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016996,
        "regime_survival": 0.578947,
        "best_return": 0.289133,
        "worst_return": -0.106438,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.038462,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017715,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.366178,
        "worst_return": -0.121089,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.002332,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.070791,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.064097,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.060535,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.061846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "relative_strength": 16.111185,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 242168190.8,
        "trend": 21.188614,
        "fair_value": 12.851799,
        "relative_strength": 16.297026,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -6.637421,
        "energy": 23.467823,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.76,
        "volume": 287933596,
        "typical_volume": 246202791.1,
        "trend": 21.461281,
        "fair_value": 12.937031,
        "relative_strength": 28.89908,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}