{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6c9d466f-de55-4f3e-8795-d51cc92ceff9", "symbol": "600223", "name": "Lushang Freda Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.742, "architecture_energy": 38.161, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.965, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.57, "rotation_up": 27.62, "upward_expansion": 18.99, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 32.46, "downward_expansion": 64.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.466929, 5.391917, 5.678659, 5.995078 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5.54, "trend_reference": 6.437076, "distance_from_trend": -0.139361, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.59193, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.270278, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.691295, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.261333, "excess_performance": -0.21813, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.139361, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102096, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.270278, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.13026, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.206913, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020904, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.261333, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.575667, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35107133, "relative_activity": 1.165719, "balance": 0.575667, "dry_up": 1.508556, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06993, "annualized_volatility": 0.268635, "from_high_reference": -0.365407, "from_low_reference": 0.140191 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.437076, "fair_value_reference": 7.59193, "structural_low": 4.858835, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.007977, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.023243, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.414322, "worst_return": -0.154145, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.025019, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.085659, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.416237, "worst_return": -0.278012, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.068105, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.093605, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.342783, "worst_return": -0.244444, "sufficient": true }, { 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"energy": 61.142172, "activity_lines": [ 5.300617, 5.363273, 5.780014, 6.11997 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.58, "volume": 42113227, "typical_volume": 29948680.55, "trend": 6.497743, "fair_value": 7.616724, "relative_strength": -18.739836, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.792819, "energy": 45.387569, "activity_lines": [ 5.412829, 5.375595, 5.72767, 6.056868 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.54, "volume": 35107133, "typical_volume": 30116290.5, "trend": 6.437076, "fair_value": 7.59193, "relative_strength": -20.691295, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.74214, "energy": 38.161239, "activity_lines": [ 5.466929, 5.391917, 5.678659, 5.995078 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }