{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6c9e6d14-15bf-4994-8459-84d558af50c7", "symbol": "605069", "name": "Beijing ZEHO Waterfront Ecological Environment Treatment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.919, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.366, "architecture_energy": 67.94, "architecture_maturity": 17.43, "architecture_confidence": 81.537, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.65, "rotation_up": 11.71, "upward_expansion": 17.47, "deceleration": 34.32, "rotation_down": 70.85, "downward_expansion": 88.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.468, 11.382727, 12.273143, 12.624882 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 10.92, "trend_reference": 13.123, "distance_from_trend": -0.167873, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.757179, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.119176, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.077532, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.177091, "excess_performance": -0.133887, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.167873, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021934, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.119176, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.55687, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.090775, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.335851, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.177091, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.062403, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50255212, "relative_activity": 1.563905, "balance": 1.062403, "dry_up": 1.217227, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.195125, "annualized_volatility": 0.806575, "from_high_reference": -0.35689, "from_low_reference": 0.265353 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.123, "fair_value_reference": 9.757179, "structural_low": 8.63, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.020766, "positive_rate": 0.642857, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": 0.025148, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.615222, "worst_return": -0.127049, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.331924, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.291723, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.448454, "worst_return": -0.224, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.19099, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.198885, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.441581, "worst_return": 0.121387, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"energy": 6.848546, "activity_lines": [ 13.433333, 13.165091, 13.353238, 13.414301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.65, "volume": 30237400, "typical_volume": 30682304.75, "trend": 13.340333, "fair_value": 9.736987, "relative_strength": -8.024852, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.216295, "energy": 24.009456, "activity_lines": [ 12.684667, 12.629818, 13.094238, 13.24329 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.45, "volume": 34599440, "typical_volume": 30042483.25, "trend": 13.326, "fair_value": 9.739679, "relative_strength": -19.135337, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.204649, "energy": 43.004128, "activity_lines": [ 11.552667, 11.971455, 12.736286, 12.992301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.96, "volume": 41367671, "typical_volume": 30671928.8, "trend": 13.249, "fair_value": 9.746026, "relative_strength": -14.960535, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.179426, "energy": 67.830359, "activity_lines": [ 10.698667, 11.533273, 12.449286, 12.77514 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.92, "volume": 50255212, "typical_volume": 32134449.2, "trend": 13.123, "fair_value": 9.757179, "relative_strength": -9.077532, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.36563, "energy": 67.93983, "activity_lines": [ 10.468, 11.382727, 12.273143, 12.624882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }