{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6cabfe6a-a2d9-4e26-a4a6-16cfdc72944c",
    "symbol": "BAVA",
    "name": "Bavarian Nordic A/S",
    "exchange": "CPH",
    "country": "DK",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-10-09",
    "benchmark": "^OMXC25",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.898,
    "architecture_energy": 81.251,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.522,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.435,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.91,
        "rotation_up": 79.82,
        "upward_expansion": 89.17,
        "deceleration": 50.25,
        "rotation_down": 9.97,
        "downward_expansion": 15.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        198.380429
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 236.800003,
    "trend_reference": 194.253333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.219027,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 188.920192,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.253439,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 19.015971,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.199595,
    "excess_performance": 0.160021,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.219027,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026709,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.253439,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.260698,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.19016,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.3473,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.199595,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.812336,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 2.344949,
      "balance": 2.812336,
      "dry_up": 1.72651,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046713,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.320319,
      "from_high_reference": -0.028313,
      "from_low_reference": 0.375545
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 188.920192,
      "structural_low": 174.100006,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.061979,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 1012353.75,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 919467.65,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 742218.7,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
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        "relative_strength": -2.142099,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-28",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-04",
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        "typical_volume": 560821.0,
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        "fair_value": 186.77468,
        "relative_strength": 1.533695,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-11",
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        "typical_volume": 552625.75,
        "trend": 190.223332,
        "fair_value": 187.16859,
        "relative_strength": -1.055771,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.803948,
        "energy": 84.004025,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-18",
        "close": 208.199997,
        "volume": 696333,
        "typical_volume": 554750.65,
        "trend": 190.589999,
        "fair_value": 187.501603,
        "relative_strength": 1.283584,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.663135,
        "energy": 82.687393,
        "activity_lines": [
          209.28,
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          192.100966
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-25",
        "close": 217.800003,
        "volume": 907500,
        "typical_volume": 554535.1,
        "trend": 191.266666,
        "fair_value": 187.881731,
        "relative_strength": 8.299238,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.112074,
        "energy": 78.492731,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "close": 217.0,
        "volume": 712883,
        "typical_volume": 510725.35,
        "trend": 192.411666,
        "fair_value": 188.2875,
        "relative_strength": 9.260857,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.097251,
        "energy": 60.693885,
        "activity_lines": [
          213.600001,
          209.254545,
          198.91857,
          195.516666
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "close": 236.800003,
        "volume": 1191071,
        "typical_volume": 507930.4,
        "trend": 194.253333,
        "fair_value": 188.920192,
        "relative_strength": 19.015971,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.897996,
        "energy": 81.250895,
        "activity_lines": [
          221.706668,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}