{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6cb46e98-a608-469b-97c0-5f021e995771", "symbol": "505", "name": "AsiaMedic Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 79.919, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.963, "architecture_energy": 12.696, "architecture_maturity": 30.571, "architecture_confidence": 78.067, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.07, "rotation_up": 25.53, "upward_expansion": 42.2, "deceleration": 77.22, "rotation_down": 30.09, "downward_expansion": 31.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0222, 0.022309, 0.022624, 0.02229 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.023, "trend_reference": 0.0216, "distance_from_trend": 0.064815, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.014397, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.597507, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.443645, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.210526, "excess_performance": 0.055691, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.064815, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058824, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.597507, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.13165, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.044436, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.229417, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.210526, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.569841, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 607200, "relative_activity": 0.033274, "balance": 3.569841, "dry_up": 0.043248, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073579, "annualized_volatility": 0.515593, "from_high_reference": -0.28125, "from_low_reference": 0.769231 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0216, "fair_value_reference": 0.014397, "structural_low": 0.018, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.02579, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.111111, "worst_return": -0.1, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.097222, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.032868, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.111111, "worst_return": 0.083333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.097222, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.024203, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.277778, "worst_return": -0.083333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.083333, 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"2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.727273, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward 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"regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.737858, "energy": 13.782438, "activity_lines": [ 0.0226, 0.022873, 0.022757, 0.022097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.021, "volume": 1259100, "typical_volume": 18378150.0, "trend": 0.021167, "fair_value": 0.014147, "relative_strength": -9.549029, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.420542, "energy": 9.911877, "activity_lines": [ 0.022, 0.022491, 0.022643, 0.022092 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.022, "volume": 671900, "typical_volume": 18316745.0, "trend": 0.0213, "fair_value": 0.014231, "relative_strength": -6.557328, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.45836, "energy": 14.276364, "activity_lines": [ 0.021867, 0.022327, 0.022619, 0.022146 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.022, "volume": 618700, "typical_volume": 18302430.0, "trend": 0.021467, "fair_value": 0.014308, "relative_strength": -7.451456, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.851008, "energy": 14.615008, "activity_lines": [ 0.021867, 0.022218, 0.022581, 0.022191 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.023, "volume": 607200, "typical_volume": 18248715.0, "trend": 0.0216, "fair_value": 0.014397, "relative_strength": -4.443645, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.962689, "energy": 12.695963, "activity_lines": [ 0.0222, 0.022309, 0.022624, 0.02229 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }