{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6cbb1fce-6edc-41a2-a162-dc6afb36c51b", "symbol": "HINDUNILVR", "name": "Hindustan Unilever Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.448, "architecture_energy": 54.119, "architecture_maturity": 22.15, "architecture_confidence": 91.774, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.31, "rotation_up": 13.75, "upward_expansion": 10.53, "deceleration": 39.79, "rotation_down": 64.54, "downward_expansion": 86.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 2117.226693, 2137.386745, 2158.067782, 2172.709499 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2096.0, "trend_reference": 2210.670605, "distance_from_trend": -0.051871, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2369.074807, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.115266, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.790677, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.135385, "excess_performance": -0.091676, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.051871, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032044, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.115266, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059377, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.087907, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075765, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.135385, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.112338, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5762826, "relative_activity": 0.718255, "balance": 0.112338, "dry_up": 1.267543, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036513, "annualized_volatility": 0.176107, "from_high_reference": -0.231827, "from_low_reference": 0.039683 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2210.670605, "fair_value_reference": 2369.074807, "structural_low": 2016.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.001694, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": -0.019091, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.110618, "worst_return": -0.112784, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.014684, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012814, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.195951, "worst_return": -0.1204, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.014368, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.032644, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.258933, "worst_return": -0.124843, 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2134.686703, 2146.614369, 2164.703583, 2180.702441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2096.0, "volume": 5762826, "typical_volume": 8023371.35, "trend": 2210.670605, "fair_value": 2369.074807, "relative_strength": -8.790677, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.44842, "energy": 54.118989, "activity_lines": [ 2117.226693, 2137.386745, 2158.067782, 2172.709499 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }