{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6cf74b02-029a-4334-8bd5-a2688438cbde",
    "symbol": "300881",
    "name": "Shengtak New Material Co., Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -67.002,
    "architecture_energy": 83.407,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.176,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.563,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.49,
        "rotation_up": 8.99,
        "upward_expansion": 20.63,
        "deceleration": 37.2,
        "rotation_down": 78.34,
        "downward_expansion": 96.3
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        32.655334,
        35.241818,
        40.594524,
        42.435957
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 33.09,
    "trend_reference": 43.522333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.239701,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.690768,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.044153,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -19.285303,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.174401,
    "excess_performance": -0.181801,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.239701,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024698,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044153,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.622387,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.192853,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.313317,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.174401,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.920561,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7618772,
      "relative_activity": 0.800021,
      "balance": 0.920561,
      "dry_up": 0.85284,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.145175,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.619663,
      "from_high_reference": -0.424522,
      "from_low_reference": 0.144191
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 43.522333,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.690768,
      "structural_low": 28.92,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.028499,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029694,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.328926,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.181442,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.064053,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.472833,
        "worst_return": -0.142754,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.323212,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.056003,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.087459,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.224679,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.013509,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 31.649363,
        "relative_strength": -17.512047,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 10517294.2,
        "trend": 43.710334,
        "fair_value": 31.657826,
        "relative_strength": -18.736605,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -57.570988,
        "energy": 75.218801,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.782,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 31.65,
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        "typical_volume": 10108593.2,
        "trend": 43.645667,
        "fair_value": 31.665375,
        "relative_strength": -20.946068,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -53.854945,
        "energy": 76.947112,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 31.93,
        "volume": 6699980,
        "typical_volume": 9759350.55,
        "trend": 43.548,
        "fair_value": 31.670036,
        "relative_strength": -18.48664,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.714767,
        "energy": 87.420395,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.136667,
          36.476727,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 33.09,
        "volume": 7618772,
        "typical_volume": 9523210.05,
        "trend": 43.522333,
        "fair_value": 31.690768,
        "relative_strength": -19.285303,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.002232,
        "energy": 83.406904,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.655334,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}