{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6d012e3c-d180-4f06-a39a-a711c8f5b108", "symbol": "UCB", "name": "United Community Banks, Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.62, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.845, "architecture_energy": 41.812, "architecture_maturity": 37.424, "architecture_confidence": 68.68, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.19, "rotation_up": 52.15, "upward_expansion": 76.38, "deceleration": 62.74, "rotation_down": 19.86, "downward_expansion": 5.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.567333, 35.359798, 34.505404, 33.900316 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 35.51, "trend_reference": 33.431936, "distance_from_trend": 0.062158, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.432804, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.24891, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.882353, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.011939, "excess_performance": -0.137563, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.062158, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043816, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.24891, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044449, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.018824, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02795, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.011939, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.732483, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3757308, "relative_activity": 0.857998, "balance": 1.732483, "dry_up": 1.093535, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047625, "annualized_volatility": 0.255221, "from_high_reference": -0.044917, "from_low_reference": 0.268883 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.431936, "fair_value_reference": 28.432804, "structural_low": 28.92056, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.030517, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.0231, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.094754, "worst_return": -0.165716, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.070273, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.072765, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.127544, "worst_return": -0.135829, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.089755, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.102277, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.159235, "worst_return": -0.258789, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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67.995724, "activity_lines": [ 35.10754, 34.326214, 33.548451, 33.244997 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 36.45, "volume": 4427127, "typical_volume": 4374865.05, "trend": 33.066833, "fair_value": 28.254696, "relative_strength": 4.764924, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.558453, "energy": 76.68272, "activity_lines": [ 35.666, 34.815676, 33.898021, 33.473361 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.25, "volume": 5872910, "typical_volume": 4434353.25, "trend": 33.182987, "fair_value": 28.318545, "relative_strength": 1.947384, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.258496, "energy": 66.644734, "activity_lines": [ 35.686, 35.026275, 34.110529, 33.614211 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.44, "volume": 5097694, "typical_volume": 4462132.1, "trend": 33.332381, "fair_value": 28.377338, "relative_strength": 1.372966, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.977536, "energy": 55.94477, "activity_lines": [ 35.609333, 35.209095, 34.318257, 33.759825 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.51, "volume": 3757308, "typical_volume": 4379157.1, "trend": 33.431936, "fair_value": 28.432804, "relative_strength": -1.882353, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.845066, "energy": 41.811975, "activity_lines": [ 35.567333, 35.359798, 34.505404, 33.900316 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }