{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6d076441-a5ee-4f0f-9ca3-990b69812ecd", "symbol": "7752", "name": "CHWE", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.399, "architecture_energy": 46.938, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.715, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.55, "rotation_up": 27.08, "upward_expansion": 6.86, "deceleration": 53.97, "rotation_down": 49.5, "downward_expansion": 80.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.613334, 32.188182, 33.845952, 37.287204 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 31.0, "trend_reference": 43.366667, "distance_from_trend": -0.285165, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 81.262162, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.618519, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -62.991978, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.493464, "excess_performance": -0.934836, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.285165, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.199187, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.618519, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029323, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.62992, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095195, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.493464, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.726421, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 290391, "relative_activity": 0.467087, "balance": 0.726421, "dry_up": 0.504549, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.145533, "annualized_volatility": 0.827994, "from_high_reference": -0.66046, "from_low_reference": 0.187739 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.366667, "fair_value_reference": 81.262162, "structural_low": 26.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.126761, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.190899, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.272401, "worst_return": -0.327711, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.323284, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.566938, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.318117, "worst_return": -0.328452, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.542083, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -1.087395, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.542083, "worst_return": -0.542083, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -61.119365, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.837201, "energy": 48.151984, "activity_lines": [ 31.816667, 32.843636, 34.422619, 38.166774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 31.0, "volume": 290391, "typical_volume": 621705.8, "trend": 43.366667, "fair_value": 81.262162, "relative_strength": -62.991978, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.399022, "energy": 46.937528, "activity_lines": [ 31.613334, 32.188182, 33.845952, 37.287204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }