{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6d144062-d2fa-44f8-912e-cbe06bb50734", "symbol": "BALAJEE", "name": "SHREE TIRUPATI BALAJEE L", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.255, "architecture_energy": 64.767, "architecture_maturity": 13.386, "architecture_confidence": 88.367, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.58, "rotation_up": 10.88, "upward_expansion": 13.58, "deceleration": 37.96, "rotation_down": 71.3, "downward_expansion": 89.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.476, 28.132364, 29.091524, 29.20428 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 27.17, "trend_reference": 29.933667, "distance_from_trend": -0.092326, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 47.9505, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.433374, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.951129, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.180145, "excess_performance": -0.136436, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.092326, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11812, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.433374, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079649, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.249511, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07601, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.180145, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.082976, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 111929, "relative_activity": 0.448442, "balance": 0.082976, "dry_up": 0.988374, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067439, "annualized_volatility": 0.599129, "from_high_reference": -0.546411, "from_low_reference": 0.287678 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.933667, "fair_value_reference": 47.9505, "structural_low": 21.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.148888, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.136663, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.340348, "worst_return": -0.042572, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.202752, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.163876, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.202752, "worst_return": 0.202752, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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27.33, "volume": 74092, "typical_volume": 283238.65, "trend": 30.323667, "fair_value": 48.160404, "relative_strength": -24.790254, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.983957, "energy": 61.853918, "activity_lines": [ 27.84, 28.424, 29.292191, 29.407742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.17, "volume": 111929, "typical_volume": 249595.4, "trend": 29.933667, "fair_value": 47.9505, "relative_strength": -24.951129, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.254818, "energy": 64.767489, "activity_lines": [ 27.476, 28.132364, 29.091524, 29.20428 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }