{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6d235d99-746f-4a37-b919-9b7e47e631f4", "symbol": "DORM", "name": "Dorman Products Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.773, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.058, "architecture_energy": 43.795, "architecture_maturity": 38.82, "architecture_confidence": 63.566, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.08, "rotation_up": 53.51, "upward_expansion": 78.92, "deceleration": 66.68, "rotation_down": 22.15, "downward_expansion": 5.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 137.482, 136.230364, 130.093762, 125.59428 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 140.91, "trend_reference": 122.362333, "distance_from_trend": 0.15158, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 113.320641, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.243463, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.268254, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.08309, "excess_performance": -0.104364, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.15158, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014467, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.243463, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108533, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.062683, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.144636, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.08309, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.834644, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3771479, "relative_activity": 2.704522, "balance": 2.834644, "dry_up": 1.324291, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082369, "annualized_volatility": 0.337158, "from_high_reference": -0.155671, "from_low_reference": 0.431358 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 122.362333, "fair_value_reference": 113.320641, "structural_low": 98.445, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.015377, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.049834, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.152721, "worst_return": -0.112803, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.03537, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.002797, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.157602, "worst_return": -0.217176, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.110975, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.005279, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.352472, "worst_return": -0.216741, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -2.624326, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.21238, "energy": 79.876867, "activity_lines": [ 138.122667, 133.376182, 125.584, 122.797269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 134.2, "volume": 1401545, "typical_volume": 1320338.95, "trend": 121.622333, "fair_value": 112.690962, "relative_strength": -6.287209, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.349651, "energy": 64.593327, "activity_lines": [ 137.624667, 134.294, 127.034381, 123.625032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 133.16, "volume": 1121500, "typical_volume": 1302631.9, "trend": 121.924333, "fair_value": 112.971795, "relative_strength": -7.331535, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.230781, "energy": 44.357261, "activity_lines": [ 136.210667, 134.694727, 128.267286, 124.369398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 140.91, "volume": 3771479, "typical_volume": 1394508.3, "trend": 122.362333, "fair_value": 113.320641, "relative_strength": -6.268254, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.058227, "energy": 43.794989, "activity_lines": [ 137.482, 136.230364, 130.093762, 125.59428 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }