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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 95.98, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.414, "architecture_energy": 92.507, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 57.694, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.65, "rotation_up": 87.62, "upward_expansion": 97.78, "deceleration": 40.55, "rotation_down": 10.28, "downward_expansion": 19.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 56937.0, 56878.363636, 56790.119048, 56698.946237 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 56985.0, "trend_reference": 56565.666667, "distance_from_trend": 0.007413, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 54672.735176, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.042293, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.443134, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.013427, "excess_performance": -0.216402, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.007413, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00496, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.042293, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001797, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.204431, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.265569, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.013427, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 10.371767, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 208595, "relative_activity": 0.607986, "balance": 10.371767, "dry_up": 0.669601, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.000783, "annualized_volatility": 0.002014, "from_high_reference": -0.000175, "from_low_reference": 0.025448 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 56565.666667, "fair_value_reference": 54672.735176, 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"activity_lines": [ 56860.333333, 56812.090909, 56731.380952, 56641.290323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 56955.0, "volume": 273962, "typical_volume": 339735.05, "trend": 56537.5, "fair_value": 54640.644757, "relative_strength": -25.571234, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.548899, "energy": 94.282718, "activity_lines": [ 56899.666667, 56844.909091, 56760.666667, 56670.075269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56985.0, "volume": 208595, "typical_volume": 343091.85, "trend": 56565.666667, "fair_value": 54672.735176, "relative_strength": -20.443134, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.414003, "energy": 92.506793, "activity_lines": [ 56937.0, 56878.363636, 56790.119048, 56698.946237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }