{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6d565c45-2f6c-4f2b-aadf-69cb3423c6fb", "symbol": "ORCL", "name": "Oracle Corporation", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.928, "architecture_energy": 75.44, "architecture_maturity": 13.633, "architecture_confidence": 81.265, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.14, "rotation_up": 8.69, "upward_expansion": 16.86, "deceleration": 37.77, "rotation_down": 77.57, "downward_expansion": 92.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 115.32, 122.604579, 137.749511, 138.712274 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 126.300003, "trend_reference": 139.621983, "distance_from_trend": -0.095415, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 143.364814, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.119031, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.963472, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.05701, "excess_performance": -0.117236, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.095415, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084922, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.119031, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.314994, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.399635, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.188436, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.05701, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.788897, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3826, "relative_activity": 2.037165, "balance": 0.788897, "dry_up": 2.081758, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123462, "annualized_volatility": 0.722795, "from_high_reference": -0.562769, "from_low_reference": 0.242866 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 139.621983, "fair_value_reference": 143.364814, 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"volume": 3593, "typical_volume": 1499.15, "trend": 144.860739, "fair_value": 143.111238, "relative_strength": -47.989949, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -53.620999, "energy": 67.240196, "activity_lines": [ 123.028983, 140.208532, 146.164461, 144.366884 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 104.559998, "volume": 3830, "typical_volume": 1635.7, "trend": 142.856693, "fair_value": 143.131692, "relative_strength": -50.472283, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.669142, "energy": 83.551468, "activity_lines": [ 114.516405, 131.581881, 142.350584, 141.766836 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 110.199997, "volume": 4390, "typical_volume": 1720.75, "trend": 140.989017, "fair_value": 143.188299, "relative_strength": -46.872094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.023363, "energy": 82.242573, "activity_lines": [ 111.523748, 125.119957, 139.221573, 139.659952 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 126.300003, "volume": 3826, "typical_volume": 1878.1, "trend": 139.621983, "fair_value": 143.364814, "relative_strength": -39.963472, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.927678, "energy": 75.439964, "activity_lines": [ 115.32, 122.604579, 137.749511, 138.712274 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }