{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6d606506-a22d-4a87-ba1a-375a55a1cbe8",
    "symbol": "UC97",
    "name": "UBS BBG MSCI US Liquid Corp Sustainable UCITS ETF USD dis",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 80.61,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.073,
    "architecture_energy": 72.214,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.571,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.2,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.22,
        "rotation_up": 8.28,
        "upward_expansion": 16.08,
        "deceleration": 37.12,
        "rotation_down": 73.66,
        "downward_expansion": 89.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 14.7525,
    "trend_reference": 14.858602,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.007141,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 14.036219,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.051031,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -8.37359,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.009314,
    "excess_performance": -0.06055,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007141,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -5.3e-05,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051031,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022928,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.083736,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037463,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009314,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.60873,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.896297,
      "balance": 2.60873,
      "dry_up": 0.770544,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.006896,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.048733,
      "from_high_reference": -0.019767,
      "from_low_reference": 0.018866
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 14.036219,
      "structural_low": 14.635,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.018125,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000337,
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        "worst_return": -0.04708,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 14.8975,
        "volume": 1605,
        "typical_volume": 22586.45,
        "trend": 14.859334,
        "fair_value": 13.849465,
        "relative_strength": -6.44465,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.658227,
        "energy": 23.0192,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.890167,
          14.851227,
          14.871254,
          14.866904
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 14.8525,
        "volume": 11859,
        "typical_volume": 23094.75,
        "trend": 14.860251,
        "fair_value": 13.861631,
        "relative_strength": -6.352704,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.015226,
        "energy": 22.31632,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.891667,
          14.848773,
          14.869497,
          14.866463
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 14.9,
        "volume": 705,
        "typical_volume": 18611.05,
        "trend": 14.863241,
        "fair_value": 13.873907,
        "relative_strength": -4.627268,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.623618,
        "energy": 21.327778,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.895167,
          14.858182,
          14.871922,
          14.869027
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 14.75,
        "volume": 313,
        "typical_volume": 18626.7,
        "trend": 14.858616,
        "fair_value": 13.886397,
        "relative_strength": -5.030196,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.111169,
        "energy": 10.102878,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.844833,
          14.843182,
          14.859833,
          14.861722
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 14.7925,
        "volume": 23129,
        "typical_volume": 19783.15,
        "trend": 14.854326,
        "fair_value": 13.899643,
        "relative_strength": -6.996546,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -20.469043,
        "energy": 17.467813,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.817667,
          14.838864,
          14.852277,
          14.857456
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 14.9475,
        "volume": 4935,
        "typical_volume": 18936.45,
        "trend": 14.859389,
        "fair_value": 13.912652,
        "relative_strength": -5.297664,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.532498,
        "energy": 8.04319,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.854,
          14.861364,
          14.859685,
          14.863467
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 14.8525,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18424.8,
        "trend": 14.861287,
        "fair_value": 13.925523,
        "relative_strength": -5.3263,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -3.815398,
        "energy": 5.373399,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.855333,
          14.862136,
          14.857742,
          14.863023
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 14.92,
        "volume": 1410,
        "typical_volume": 18424.8,
        "trend": 14.865842,
        "fair_value": 13.938301,
        "relative_strength": -5.622234,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.547456,
        "energy": 13.547087,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.879167,
          14.871409,
          14.862365,
          14.866811
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 14.915,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18371.3,
        "trend": 14.869986,
        "fair_value": 13.951019,
        "relative_strength": -4.447806,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 12.033227,
        "energy": 17.341136,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.9,
          14.878364,
          14.866351,
          14.869982
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 14.9925,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18371.3,
        "trend": 14.872873,
        "fair_value": 13.963944,
        "relative_strength": -5.026124,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.859418,
        "energy": 51.616221,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.935667,
          14.898864,
          14.877488,
          14.877886
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 14.935,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18371.3,
        "trend": 14.875885,
        "fair_value": 13.977717,
        "relative_strength": -6.628084,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.132919,
        "energy": 55.280151,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.938833,
          14.9085,
          14.882667,
          14.881894
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 14.805,
        "volume": 2115,
        "typical_volume": 18477.05,
        "trend": 14.876689,
        "fair_value": 13.989481,
        "relative_strength": -5.611006,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 0.021639,
        "energy": 12.615903,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.8995,
          14.893818,
          14.875917,
          14.877321
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 14.815,
        "volume": 13347,
        "typical_volume": 17003.45,
        "trend": 14.875457,
        "fair_value": 14.001088,
        "relative_strength": -6.22955,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.74152,
        "energy": 11.085094,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.866667,
          14.881818,
          14.87119,
          14.873341
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.665,
        "volume": 19084,
        "typical_volume": 17763.05,
        "trend": 14.869224,
        "fair_value": 14.011983,
        "relative_strength": -8.104257,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.951197,
        "energy": 55.256819,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.790833,
          14.844091,
          14.853333,
          14.859763
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.6475,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14171.7,
        "trend": 14.862981,
        "fair_value": 14.023475,
        "relative_strength": -9.03495,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -79.051722,
        "energy": 78.183552,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.725833,
          14.804727,
          14.834988,
          14.845459
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.7525,
        "volume": 13298,
        "typical_volume": 14836.6,
        "trend": 14.858602,
        "fair_value": 14.036219,
        "relative_strength": -8.37359,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.073108,
        "energy": 72.213645,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.718833,
          14.787091,
          14.826976,
          14.838331
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}