{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6d6b74cd-4c93-42ec-a5ba-b633ca68da7b", "symbol": "WFC", "name": "Wells Fargo & Company", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 66.212, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 32.451, "architecture_energy": 37.279, "architecture_maturity": 16.725, "architecture_confidence": 55.068, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.86, "rotation_up": 54.37, "upward_expansion": 49.91, "deceleration": 42.4, "rotation_down": 22.93, "downward_expansion": 12.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 1496.851823, 1489.829148, 1448.200091, 1438.725476 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1492.0, "trend_reference": 1445.037577, "distance_from_trend": 0.032499, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1258.839399, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.185219, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.791108, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.063457, "excess_performance": -0.00879, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.032499, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034902, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.185219, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097786, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027911, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.192273, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.063457, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.169948, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2534, "relative_activity": 0.292395, "balance": 2.169948, "dry_up": 0.474248, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030735, "annualized_volatility": 0.278427, "from_high_reference": -0.135551, "from_low_reference": 0.179447 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1445.037577, "fair_value_reference": 1258.839399, "structural_low": 1265.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.037733, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.053255, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.041372, "worst_return": -0.184465, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.047474, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.075218, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.021994, "worst_return": -0.188847, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.045514, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.147608, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.228413, "worst_return": -0.175199, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.11793, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.017449, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.052816, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.037733, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.061557, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 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"fair_value": 1249.34872, "relative_strength": -1.872233, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.617674, "energy": 66.227243, "activity_lines": [ 1502.576392, 1476.063637, 1434.460828, 1434.187258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1490.626314, "volume": 2293, "typical_volume": 8678.3, "trend": 1452.769478, "fair_value": 1254.033579, "relative_strength": -3.090113, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.419853, "energy": 49.652275, "activity_lines": [ 1500.172704, 1484.345388, 1441.643757, 1436.194475 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1492.0, "volume": 2534, "typical_volume": 8666.35, "trend": 1445.037577, "fair_value": 1258.839399, "relative_strength": -2.791108, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.451073, "energy": 37.278501, "activity_lines": [ 1496.851823, 1489.829148, 1448.200091, 1438.725476 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }