{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6d6ee5a9-6d69-4d97-8e9f-710c9ed22004", "symbol": "EXPE", "name": "Expedia Group, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 79.672, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.782, "architecture_energy": 92.234, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.569, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.96, "rotation_up": 83.65, "upward_expansion": 97.08, "deceleration": 42.06, "rotation_down": 8.84, "downward_expansion": 21.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 250.736665, 240.080544, 224.138462, 217.049186 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 267.75, "trend_reference": 211.37643, "distance_from_trend": 0.266698, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 158.943818, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.684557, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.576425, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.351085, "excess_performance": 0.176839, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.266698, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003975, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.684557, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.343549, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.045764, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.158626, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.351085, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.108434, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 82, "relative_activity": 4.1, "balance": 1.108434, "dry_up": 3.05, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057541, "annualized_volatility": 0.468741, "from_high_reference": -0.053218, "from_low_reference": 0.691191 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 211.37643, "fair_value_reference": 158.943818, "structural_low": 158.320343, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.016581, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.009187, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.216712, "worst_return": -0.232268, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.072006, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.076512, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.316579, "worst_return": -0.346847, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.043012, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.085562, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.252796, "worst_return": -0.233892, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.162938, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.019928, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.382878, "worst_return": -0.388015, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.132949, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.052219, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.040713, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.130429, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.016294, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.185903, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.112725, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.027557, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.065863, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.081728, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.032413, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.0164, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.054134, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 97.345917, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.55, "trend": 94.174339, "fair_value": 116.65932, "relative_strength": 4.085924, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.408452, "energy": 23.035737, "activity_lines": [ 99.152885, 100.147352, 97.0958, 94.830047 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 97.552956, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.55, "trend": 93.900893, "fair_value": 116.760889, "relative_strength": 5.187571, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.710384, "energy": 25.014914, "activity_lines": [ 98.066988, 99.75959, 97.51531, 95.048023 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 100.017921, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.55, "trend": 93.586036, "fair_value": 116.874593, "relative_strength": 5.653644, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.615755, "energy": 19.459095, "activity_lines": [ 98.350952, 99.788453, 98.095819, 95.44267 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 100.313721, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.55, "trend": 93.596553, "fair_value": 117.008964, "relative_strength": 7.148479, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.961396, "energy": 20.539797, "activity_lines": [ 99.272519, 99.763715, 98.614774, 95.876714 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 99.899597, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.55, "trend": 93.61693, "fair_value": 117.146812, "relative_strength": 5.624701, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.408307, "energy": 24.121159, "activity_lines": [ 99.550564, 99.638226, 99.016491, 96.283362 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 94.516144, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.55, "trend": 93.521948, "fair_value": 117.244715, "relative_strength": 0.920602, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.138298, "energy": 11.326736, "activity_lines": [ 98.047271, 98.536437, 98.818966, 96.341376 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 96.645859, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.55, "trend": 93.408888, "fair_value": 117.376811, "relative_strength": 3.260401, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.257548, "energy": 11.849827, "activity_lines": [ 97.442535, 97.992892, 98.774455, 96.542918 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 92.563904, "volume": 104, "typical_volume": 21.75, "trend": 93.358274, "fair_value": 117.457902, "relative_strength": 0.724431, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.156824, "energy": 12.418869, "activity_lines": [ 95.53762, 96.873177, 98.267943, 96.488403 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 94.575302, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.75, "trend": 93.651768, "fair_value": 117.570215, "relative_strength": 2.262927, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.169395, "energy": 17.988262, "activity_lines": [ 94.800106, 96.401698, 97.93008, 96.566921 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 87.180443, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.75, "trend": 93.809525, "fair_value": 117.582097, "relative_strength": -1.868357, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.488919, "energy": 47.612956, "activity_lines": [ 91.9802, 94.552177, 96.862074, 96.149416 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 88.807304, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 20.55, "trend": 93.834502, "fair_value": 117.637274, "relative_strength": 0.595694, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.77541, "energy": 52.393284, "activity_lines": [ 90.550524, 93.233291, 95.984128, 95.826692 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 102.936424, "volume": 40, "typical_volume": 18.0, "trend": 94.530276, "fair_value": 117.749714, "relative_strength": 10.356284, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.485674, "energy": 14.028327, "activity_lines": [ 94.211145, 94.638583, 96.50698, 96.413913 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 108.872025, "volume": 38, "typical_volume": 19.9, "trend": 95.453483, "fair_value": 117.791049, "relative_strength": 15.834705, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.275727, "energy": 31.681053, "activity_lines": [ 99.430928, 97.025195, 97.561228, 97.339187 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 121.98558, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 14.2, "trend": 96.720469, "fair_value": 117.928202, "relative_strength": 26.309246, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.997632, "energy": 83.900478, "activity_lines": [ 107.934688, 101.635105, 99.7941, 99.050936 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 122.872963, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 19.2, "trend": 98.091969, "fair_value": 118.065354, "relative_strength": 27.36582, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.287111, "energy": 95.006947, "activity_lines": [ 114.906891, 106.012324, 102.001618, 100.738193 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 125.83091, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19.2, "trend": 99.484503, "fair_value": 118.213378, "relative_strength": 27.31156, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.868307, "energy": 94.476838, "activity_lines": [ 120.485574, 110.509654, 104.382106, 102.527802 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 131.865128, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19.2, "trend": 101.171189, "fair_value": 118.40122, "relative_strength": 32.206036, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.76397, "energy": 96.280679, "activity_lines": [ 125.607424, 115.534756, 107.232955, 104.616875 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 132.180618, "volume": 22, "typical_volume": 20.3, "trend": 102.652132, "fair_value": 118.610425, "relative_strength": 29.547595, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.381456, "energy": 93.226346, "activity_lines": [ 128.905856, 119.976868, 109.989616, 106.617483 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 138.392303, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15.2, "trend": 104.29379, "fair_value": 118.835557, "relative_strength": 32.883628, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.895425, "energy": 95.336719, "activity_lines": [ 132.720944, 124.828074, 113.223212, 108.923301 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 136.696426, "volume": 120, "typical_volume": 21.2, "trend": 105.698485, "fair_value": 119.036293, "relative_strength": 29.05196, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.470323, "energy": 90.264706, "activity_lines": [ 134.876957, 128.574266, 116.077863, 111.013793 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 131.825668, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.2, "trend": 106.746254, "fair_value": 119.135397, "relative_strength": 23.722149, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.182888, "energy": 67.929118, "activity_lines": [ 134.487821, 130.534575, 118.294348, 112.699418 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 133.837067, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.2, "trend": 108.013569, "fair_value": 119.253209, "relative_strength": 25.961157, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.347359, "energy": 66.308687, "activity_lines": [ 134.369501, 132.078441, 120.538206, 114.447212 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 132.515854, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 21.25, "trend": 109.293701, "fair_value": 119.38619, "relative_strength": 26.008193, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.905711, "energy": 63.206469, "activity_lines": [ 133.679313, 132.820257, 122.483452, 116.028005 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 138.8853, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.25, "trend": 110.62609, "fair_value": 119.630157, "relative_strength": 27.128487, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.747877, "energy": 65.351827, "activity_lines": [ 135.089925, 134.290266, 124.880561, 117.93714 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 138.964188, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.25, "trend": 111.923641, "fair_value": 119.770976, "relative_strength": 27.129098, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.475178, "energy": 66.27816, "activity_lines": [ 136.493967, 135.46735, 127.101508, 119.765405 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 118.35717, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.25, "trend": 112.4048, "fair_value": 119.756186, "relative_strength": 10.500221, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.304781, "energy": 38.1228, "activity_lines": [ 130.877818, 132.605136, 127.17386, 120.180471 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 125.397072, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.25, "trend": 113.058835, "fair_value": 119.726606, "relative_strength": 14.848809, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.848891, "energy": 30.915088, "activity_lines": [ 128.506204, 131.158791, 127.803151, 121.018682 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 123.819504, "volume": 30, "typical_volume": 17.55, "trend": 113.582719, "fair_value": 119.677054, "relative_strength": 13.564221, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.943191, "energy": 28.34141, "activity_lines": [ 126.1714, 129.543216, 128.145286, 121.712919 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 124.174461, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17.55, "trend": 114.630817, "fair_value": 119.639385, "relative_strength": 13.525226, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.65953, "energy": 28.075238, "activity_lines": [ 124.534671, 128.144199, 128.372391, 122.396257 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 120.74324, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17.55, "trend": 115.319032, "fair_value": 119.487316, "relative_strength": 9.839306, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.454799, "energy": 19.28428, "activity_lines": [ 122.734925, 126.379829, 128.131764, 122.790607 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 120.684082, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17.55, "trend": 116.096971, "fair_value": 119.309207, "relative_strength": 8.260755, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.130688, "energy": 20.01847, "activity_lines": [ 122.130189, 124.894762, 127.725681, 123.136739 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 123.937813, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15.55, "trend": 116.976466, "fair_value": 119.158656, "relative_strength": 7.825577, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.053007, "energy": 17.728394, "activity_lines": [ 122.454903, 124.203856, 127.477682, 123.6426 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 126.343613, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 13.65, "trend": 117.853989, "fair_value": 119.035282, "relative_strength": 8.261529, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.788283, "energy": 12.738416, "activity_lines": [ 123.678834, 124.130355, 127.3588, 124.246932 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 119.007912, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 13.65, "trend": 118.477129, "fair_value": 118.877525, "relative_strength": 0.643682, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -7.521904, "energy": 13.32475, "activity_lines": [ 122.289257, 122.835313, 126.458083, 124.321379 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 122.577171, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.65, "trend": 119.233048, "fair_value": 118.750358, "relative_strength": 3.432037, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.284306, "energy": 9.770535, "activity_lines": [ 122.43387, 122.550634, 125.911474, 124.585898 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 119.737549, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.65, "trend": 120.073762, "fair_value": 118.58704, "relative_strength": 1.075855, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.334191, "energy": 11.683795, "activity_lines": [ 121.50968, 122.047606, 125.095833, 124.618446 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 126.047821, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.65, "trend": 121.053827, "fair_value": 118.473525, "relative_strength": 5.431884, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.265124, "energy": 12.483009, "activity_lines": [ 122.752017, 122.666802, 124.910187, 125.003869 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 107.925491, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7.55, "trend": 121.56588, "fair_value": 118.243463, "relative_strength": -10.998513, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -50.814842, "energy": 45.729748, "activity_lines": [ 117.812909, 119.979198, 123.026306, 124.15688 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 103.035019, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7.55, "trend": 121.847871, "fair_value": 118.014033, "relative_strength": -17.346181, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -62.257022, "energy": 78.855155, "activity_lines": [ 112.471519, 116.691398, 120.792166, 122.96134 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 103.528008, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.55, "trend": 122.392789, "fair_value": 117.806092, "relative_strength": -18.359302, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.394971, "energy": 93.219406, "activity_lines": [ 108.359319, 113.877587, 118.773346, 121.779414 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 100.727837, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.55, "trend": 122.790141, "fair_value": 117.543417, "relative_strength": -20.406991, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.471727, "energy": 93.915858, "activity_lines": [ 104.583672, 110.867657, 116.645788, 120.381675 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 100.4123, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.55, "trend": 122.706003, "fair_value": 117.292623, "relative_strength": -19.25889, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.489019, "energy": 90.733055, "activity_lines": [ 101.97016, 108.163199, 114.636263, 118.937943 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 111.396133, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.5, "trend": 122.79014, "fair_value": 117.101368, "relative_strength": -9.632396, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.357761, "energy": 83.632137, "activity_lines": [ 104.726961, 107.883537, 113.831983, 118.208274 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 114.176613, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.5, "trend": 122.529841, "fair_value": 116.959412, "relative_strength": -4.242251, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.737285, "energy": 54.547828, "activity_lines": [ 108.179212, 108.38119, 113.393081, 117.652563 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 115.773895, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.5, "trend": 122.293206, "fair_value": 116.79129, "relative_strength": -4.526145, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.639115, "energy": 30.645322, "activity_lines": [ 111.421118, 109.257099, 113.223962, 117.216695 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 116.069702, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.5, "trend": 121.967832, "fair_value": 116.636819, "relative_strength": -4.799723, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.641628, "energy": 34.875493, "activity_lines": [ 113.945233, 110.310487, 113.193444, 116.815179 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 112.539886, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.5, "trend": 121.323657, "fair_value": 116.473248, "relative_strength": -10.071621, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.744395, "energy": 31.947952, "activity_lines": [ 114.269952, 110.788779, 112.837647, 116.206924 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 118.396599, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 120.86419, "fair_value": 116.376672, "relative_strength": -5.284001, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.489707, "energy": 22.135165, "activity_lines": [ 115.738403, 112.577526, 113.100856, 116.018082 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 123.011002, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 0.25, "trend": 120.35148, "fair_value": 116.295897, "relative_strength": -0.699876, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 14.745552, "energy": 26.78629, "activity_lines": [ 118.278291, 115.014872, 113.829355, 116.156586 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 114.590706, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.25, "trend": 119.614623, "fair_value": 116.161652, "relative_strength": -7.367543, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.265254, "energy": 17.698706, "activity_lines": [ 117.422454, 115.558055, 113.761462, 115.784923 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 104.671753, "volume": 54, "typical_volume": 2.95, "trend": 118.709492, "fair_value": 116.043714, "relative_strength": -11.95175, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.433392, "energy": 22.288481, "activity_lines": [ 113.339179, 114.096653, 112.778205, 114.820867 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 115.418945, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.95, "trend": 118.095555, "fair_value": 115.985187, "relative_strength": -3.881573, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.405876, "energy": 12.048014, "activity_lines": [ 113.598164, 114.517578, 112.894738, 114.608574 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 117.607811, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.95, "trend": 117.59862, "fair_value": 115.9953, "relative_strength": -3.900618, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.942344, "energy": 14.356157, "activity_lines": [ 114.394834, 115.06363, 113.260301, 114.577106 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 121.748947, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.95, "trend": 117.027408, "fair_value": 116.000229, "relative_strength": -2.283231, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 7.192741, "energy": 6.730494, "activity_lines": [ 116.624468, 116.249676, 114.061858, 114.844869 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 123.878654, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.95, "trend": 116.524557, "fair_value": 116.03891, "relative_strength": -1.741217, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.517407, "energy": 39.994417, "activity_lines": [ 119.648142, 117.685264, 115.05319, 115.286885 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 118.317734, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.95, "trend": 116.523242, "fair_value": 116.016662, "relative_strength": -2.321015, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.111985, "energy": 44.976745, "activity_lines": [ 120.19898, 117.962415, 115.508714, 115.402574 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 119.836136, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.95, "trend": 116.337878, "fair_value": 115.965973, "relative_strength": -1.759155, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.842083, "energy": 43.671243, "activity_lines": [ 120.346219, 118.474766, 116.115609, 115.616309 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 126.245003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.95, "trend": 116.418728, "fair_value": 115.860296, "relative_strength": 2.839627, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.334961, "energy": 50.875978, "activity_lines": [ 122.335268, 120.019707, 117.362451, 116.255478 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 132.436996, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.95, "trend": 116.694146, "fair_value": 115.782808, "relative_strength": 6.576219, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.471584, "energy": 69.152124, "activity_lines": [ 125.812501, 122.547767, 119.111771, 117.288915 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 135.355484, "volume": 6, "typical_volume": 3.25, "trend": 117.181221, "fair_value": 115.716191, "relative_strength": 9.605296, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.527048, "energy": 78.74889, "activity_lines": [ 129.550028, 125.435079, 120.999033, 118.492872 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 136.163986, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3.25, "trend": 117.697217, "fair_value": 115.639082, "relative_strength": 9.621511, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.644291, "energy": 84.042078, "activity_lines": [ 132.791933, 128.091849, 122.811736, 119.717567 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 143.756058, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3.25, "trend": 118.357825, "fair_value": 115.685474, "relative_strength": 14.63016, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.634072, "energy": 90.707427, "activity_lines": [ 137.374779, 131.556411, 125.17875, 121.398782 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 145.254745, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3.25, "trend": 118.988197, "fair_value": 115.728706, "relative_strength": 16.534828, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.555471, "energy": 92.212683, "activity_lines": [ 140.862525, 134.778241, 127.482097, 123.134068 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 145.195557, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3.25, "trend": 119.861118, "fair_value": 115.673213, "relative_strength": 17.713035, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.747345, "energy": 90.410097, "activity_lines": [ 143.063226, 137.486638, 129.618575, 124.824865 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 170.732483, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 3.3, "trend": 121.466295, "fair_value": 115.774339, "relative_strength": 36.516222, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 98.419444, "energy": 98.856257, "activity_lines": [ 152.925665, 144.41181, 134.039433, 128.106889 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 167.478745, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 8.3, "trend": 123.057668, "fair_value": 115.866996, "relative_strength": 32.984958, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.782318, "energy": 96.405856, "activity_lines": [ 159.345058, 149.893506, 137.888703, 131.075434 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 176.392014, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.3, "trend": 124.735808, "fair_value": 116.12727, "relative_strength": 40.057399, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.34161, "energy": 97.052912, "activity_lines": [ 166.647891, 156.101959, 142.342051, 134.516359 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 173.631287, "volume": 52, "typical_volume": 10.9, "trend": 126.926001, "fair_value": 116.35847, "relative_strength": 36.787015, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.100289, "energy": 92.130888, "activity_lines": [ 170.85475, 160.780174, 146.228414, 137.670906 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 177.239944, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10.65, "trend": 129.399499, "fair_value": 116.562998, "relative_strength": 37.181676, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.061249, "energy": 90.466333, "activity_lines": [ 174.372726, 165.252939, 150.195437, 140.916967 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 172.803024, "volume": 48, "typical_volume": 13.05, "trend": 131.708666, "fair_value": 116.768031, "relative_strength": 30.826427, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.372792, "energy": 68.369611, "activity_lines": [ 174.275435, 168.104392, 153.481663, 143.717194 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 174.498932, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10.35, "trend": 134.167702, "fair_value": 116.853862, "relative_strength": 33.687243, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.622554, "energy": 66.921363, "activity_lines": [ 174.605412, 170.583328, 156.652203, 146.477857 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 176.51033, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10.35, "trend": 136.704303, "fair_value": 116.981534, "relative_strength": 33.082283, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.221862, "energy": 67.313523, "activity_lines": [ 175.137842, 172.730974, 159.681794, 149.209639 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 178.206223, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10.35, "trend": 138.931306, "fair_value": 117.109712, "relative_strength": 32.885168, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.47708, "energy": 66.564995, "activity_lines": [ 176.227682, 174.591432, 162.581987, 151.887182 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 173.946777, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10.35, "trend": 140.923645, "fair_value": 117.21956, "relative_strength": 29.127341, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.48147, "energy": 62.35327, "activity_lines": [ 175.59271, 175.078327, 164.787955, 154.146245 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 180.000702, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10.35, "trend": 143.064539, "fair_value": 117.379972, "relative_strength": 28.526978, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.679822, "energy": 65.118463, "activity_lines": [ 177.195259, 176.143186, 167.321926, 156.667345 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 161.838943, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10.35, "trend": 144.59018, "fair_value": 117.446336, "relative_strength": 13.502364, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.055242, "energy": 44.092239, "activity_lines": [ 172.264042, 173.737394, 167.858958, 157.878597 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 163.298172, "volume": 56, "typical_volume": 13.15, "trend": 146.282123, "fair_value": 117.490831, "relative_strength": 13.847238, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.031851, "energy": 28.753194, "activity_lines": [ 168.663234, 171.699459, 168.327721, 159.085565 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 194.711533, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 13.15, "trend": 148.825954, "fair_value": 117.617113, "relative_strength": 34.180884, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.378986, "energy": 53.80841, "activity_lines": [ 176.414358, 175.611113, 171.581269, 162.210043 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 190.767624, "volume": 56, "typical_volume": 15.95, "trend": 151.084508, "fair_value": 117.689418, "relative_strength": 24.249351, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.050073, "energy": 56.817392, "activity_lines": [ 181.75049, 178.422416, 174.133177, 164.915957 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 189.66333, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15.65, "trend": 153.586929, "fair_value": 117.803564, "relative_strength": 23.947872, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.1596, "energy": 70.758966, "activity_lines": [ 185.597135, 180.78698, 176.302148, 167.404913 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 185.58136, "volume": 56, "typical_volume": 18.45, "trend": 156.283916, "fair_value": 117.985718, "relative_strength": 17.901601, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.533299, "energy": 76.830777, "activity_lines": [ 187.438949, 182.102817, 177.823752, 169.46907 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 165.405273, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.45, "trend": 157.950127, "fair_value": 118.008579, "relative_strength": 1.442566, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.464427, "energy": 38.221895, "activity_lines": [ 180.972572, 179.548776, 177.188503, 170.057545 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 146.095795, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.45, "trend": 158.899726, "fair_value": 117.833334, "relative_strength": -10.484782, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -13.322214, "energy": 17.851747, "activity_lines": [ 167.929229, 173.685831, 174.611164, 169.292749 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 158.389008, "volume": 106, "typical_volume": 23.75, "trend": 160.121062, "fair_value": 117.740557, "relative_strength": -2.16794, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": -5.19286, "energy": 26.62855, "activity_lines": [ 162.224673, 170.641841, 173.200603, 169.259799 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 154.495483, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 23.7, "trend": 161.141623, "fair_value": 117.596529, "relative_strength": -2.722143, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.579141, "energy": 40.48968, "activity_lines": [ 157.380849, 167.172807, 171.356404, 168.896859 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 129.533508, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.7, "trend": 161.515482, "fair_value": 117.362897, "relative_strength": -9.533224, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -51.355418, "energy": 66.93586, "activity_lines": [ 146.560891, 159.628962, 167.212193, 166.857626 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 126.707268, "volume": 56, "typical_volume": 21.5, "trend": 161.74452, "fair_value": 117.044152, "relative_strength": -10.379683, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -55.896229, "energy": 74.833438, "activity_lines": [ 138.535375, 152.158628, 162.979507, 164.611934 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 131.351791, "volume": 13, "typical_volume": 19.55, "trend": 161.914746, "fair_value": 116.807134, "relative_strength": -11.822925, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.580783, "energy": 72.636347, "activity_lines": [ 134.637902, 146.198041, 159.425752, 162.651113 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 138.466843, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19.55, "trend": 162.115741, "fair_value": 116.615346, "relative_strength": -10.311547, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.410969, "energy": 78.884208, "activity_lines": [ 134.095045, 142.683095, 156.750951, 161.138345 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 138.348282, "volume": 22, "typical_volume": 18.25, "trend": 162.215501, "fair_value": 116.685346, "relative_strength": -11.81709, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.622359, "energy": 64.292513, "activity_lines": [ 134.840813, 140.097516, 154.249493, 159.604961 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 137.063614, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.25, "trend": 162.245488, "fair_value": 116.763545, "relative_strength": -16.660771, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.637262, "energy": 51.012408, "activity_lines": [ 136.234838, 138.211362, 151.789755, 157.982258 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 147.084, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 23.25, "trend": 162.35642, "fair_value": 116.954896, "relative_strength": -13.376129, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.517337, "energy": 35.176859, "activity_lines": [ 140.466985, 139.029237, 150.462603, 157.004098 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 138.328491, "volume": 64, "typical_volume": 26.45, "trend": 162.125545, "fair_value": 117.07015, "relative_strength": -17.713838, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.214885, "energy": 31.694121, "activity_lines": [ 140.42218, 138.588316, 148.441719, 155.453909 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 145.031189, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 26.45, "trend": 162.120066, "fair_value": 117.218511, "relative_strength": -14.80616, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.470004, "energy": 25.407296, "activity_lines": [ 142.146495, 139.507291, 147.249081, 154.351047 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 152.264893, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 26.5, "trend": 161.504479, "fair_value": 117.498187, "relative_strength": -11.170874, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.714951, "energy": 21.921514, "activity_lines": [ 145.844421, 141.984353, 146.88306, 153.71523 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 144.595169, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 26.5, "trend": 160.741693, "fair_value": 117.824768, "relative_strength": -13.864897, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.271215, "energy": 18.955102, "activity_lines": [ 146.057998, 143.107477, 145.918665, 152.624306 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 141.622421, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 23.7, "trend": 159.582707, "fair_value": 118.12888, "relative_strength": -15.256828, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.338837, "energy": 20.053432, "activity_lines": [ 144.778555, 143.416253, 144.753264, 151.390805 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 143.980804, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 23.7, "trend": 158.594358, "fair_value": 118.469221, "relative_strength": -15.505814, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.042703, "energy": 16.998004, "activity_lines": [ 144.649346, 143.882641, 143.915688, 150.384231 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 147.389572, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 20.9, "trend": 157.599345, "fair_value": 118.814852, "relative_strength": -12.965994, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.804395, "energy": 16.885691, "activity_lines": [ 145.279571, 144.739187, 143.644333, 149.661341 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 155.495316, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 20.9, "trend": 157.022422, "fair_value": 119.229825, "relative_strength": -10.326217, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.978898, "energy": 6.704421, "activity_lines": [ 148.454486, 146.907273, 144.351515, 149.525597 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 156.387146, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.1, "trend": 156.418695, "fair_value": 119.612592, "relative_strength": -9.919041, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.25909, "energy": 17.375418, "activity_lines": [ 151.711316, 148.925745, 145.306338, 149.484612 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 158.468079, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.1, "trend": 155.817287, "fair_value": 119.9807, "relative_strength": -10.667929, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 9.313963, "energy": 39.084676, "activity_lines": [ 154.875658, 150.971233, 146.598365, 149.61683 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 150.699249, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.1, "trend": 154.900388, "fair_value": 120.316261, "relative_strength": -12.969762, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.563643, "energy": 29.178571, "activity_lines": [ 154.327347, 151.397222, 147.183538, 149.286634 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 166.613434, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12.8, "trend": 154.655943, "fair_value": 120.692466, "relative_strength": -9.284167, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.901576, "energy": 47.548271, "activity_lines": [ 158.635867, 154.491776, 149.262426, 150.042315 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 177.59285, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12.8, "trend": 154.575681, "fair_value": 121.148659, "relative_strength": -6.003301, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 58.188833, "energy": 67.323923, "activity_lines": [ 165.322602, 159.190184, 152.347809, 151.522115 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 180.902527, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12.8, "trend": 155.211134, "fair_value": 121.639593, "relative_strength": -3.283414, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 57.217062, "energy": 75.557432, "activity_lines": [ 171.639394, 164.029843, 155.638412, 153.220621 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 183.187851, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10.0, "trend": 155.874123, "fair_value": 122.159967, "relative_strength": 1.265094, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 54.528292, "energy": 82.473208, "activity_lines": [ 177.083602, 168.624881, 158.902051, 155.025571 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 180.486603, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9.35, "trend": 155.399959, "fair_value": 122.63749, "relative_strength": -0.169247, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.030653, "energy": 87.831952, "activity_lines": [ 179.979409, 171.973048, 161.639472, 156.613473 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 187.954727, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9.35, "trend": 155.306196, "fair_value": 123.195246, "relative_strength": 2.475051, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.333567, "energy": 91.549794, "activity_lines": [ 183.378767, 176.015315, 164.854169, 158.71378 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 186.524689, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.25, "trend": 155.201574, "fair_value": 123.802679, "relative_strength": 1.851742, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.913657, "energy": 87.041424, "activity_lines": [ 184.878693, 179.060026, 167.697014, 160.727877 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 186.425354, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.25, "trend": 155.229708, "fair_value": 124.376987, "relative_strength": 1.05495, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.786366, "energy": 72.907073, "activity_lines": [ 185.750051, 181.522505, 170.300988, 162.742314 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 187.180115, "volume": 53, "typical_volume": 5.9, "trend": 155.955536, "fair_value": 124.972188, "relative_strength": -0.812049, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.20512, "energy": 64.517089, "activity_lines": [ 186.504808, 183.576065, 172.741787, 164.803631 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 181.241364, "volume": 18, "typical_volume": 3.6, "trend": 157.127055, "fair_value": 125.539116, "relative_strength": -2.160596, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.268564, "energy": 56.550073, "activity_lines": [ 185.01383, 184.027815, 174.426058, 166.434974 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 183.426178, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3.6, "trend": 157.961627, "fair_value": 126.105197, "relative_strength": 0.908207, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.568924, "energy": 45.498206, "activity_lines": [ 184.200806, 184.321493, 176.114059, 168.131692 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 184.161087, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3.55, "trend": 158.95048, "fair_value": 126.682562, "relative_strength": -0.543904, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.940005, "energy": 39.298656, "activity_lines": [ 183.934655, 184.443104, 177.689218, 169.82198 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 188.014313, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3.55, "trend": 160.899841, "fair_value": 127.297331, "relative_strength": -1.362025, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.349885, "energy": 39.08685, "activity_lines": [ 185.110486, 185.145879, 179.479464, 171.697066 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 220.5186, "volume": 23, "typical_volume": 4.7, "trend": 164.026885, "fair_value": 128.081843, "relative_strength": 17.101268, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.988279, "energy": 72.736742, "activity_lines": [ 197.015149, 191.629219, 184.158599, 175.543437 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 225.335129, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.7, "trend": 167.159663, "fair_value": 128.925988, "relative_strength": 17.251167, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.70804, "energy": 94.938581, "activity_lines": [ 208.302756, 198.309551, 188.920755, 179.498808 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 210.858337, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.7, "trend": 169.572713, "fair_value": 129.654833, "relative_strength": 11.509271, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.872783, "energy": 85.820451, "activity_lines": [ 211.825181, 201.542311, 191.916767, 182.318077 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 219.115601, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.7, "trend": 172.264957, "fair_value": 130.439137, "relative_strength": 11.061332, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.625693, "energy": 88.662462, "activity_lines": [ 216.271217, 205.859963, 195.396953, 185.514392 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 225.034958, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.7, "trend": 175.197335, "fair_value": 131.315425, "relative_strength": 12.729343, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.714232, "energy": 83.237481, "activity_lines": [ 220.360071, 210.6613, 199.137934, 188.918909 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 234.635254, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.7, "trend": 178.11571, "fair_value": 132.292629, "relative_strength": 17.126892, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.784896, "energy": 70.581513, "activity_lines": [ 225.180981, 216.506152, 203.466334, 192.753613 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 246.722672, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.7, "trend": 181.728849, "fair_value": 133.368743, "relative_strength": 20.156481, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.612961, "energy": 76.528707, "activity_lines": [ 233.089919, 223.685895, 208.583216, 197.179869 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 244.136047, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.7, "trend": 185.032345, "fair_value": 134.422398, "relative_strength": 18.731682, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.580686, "energy": 80.153474, "activity_lines": [ 238.710813, 229.204774, 212.996498, 201.20614 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 237.818771, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.7, "trend": 187.884141, "fair_value": 135.387775, "relative_strength": 13.644087, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.536209, "energy": 73.619763, "activity_lines": [ 240.007435, 232.471242, 216.43898, 204.611715 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 256.173737, "volume": 48, "typical_volume": 7.1, "trend": 191.603426, "fair_value": 136.418922, "relative_strength": 21.262102, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.362717, "energy": 79.325305, "activity_lines": [ 246.175501, 238.099381, 221.342764, 209.017496 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 246.722672, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7.1, "trend": 195.106768, "fair_value": 137.362498, "relative_strength": 15.498673, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.402857, "energy": 64.52059, "activity_lines": [ 247.117292, 240.769883, 224.988012, 212.573576 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 229.611267, "volume": 11, "typical_volume": 7.65, "trend": 197.961117, "fair_value": 138.15644, "relative_strength": 6.562609, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.298017, "energy": 54.242523, "activity_lines": [ 241.549455, 239.852783, 226.701055, 214.799673 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 222.896027, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7.65, "trend": 200.477998, "fair_value": 138.883571, "relative_strength": 1.988856, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.777365, "energy": 39.935199, "activity_lines": [ 234.883964, 237.636982, 227.540625, 216.408377 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 198.174011, "volume": 83, "typical_volume": 11.8, "trend": 201.900622, "fair_value": 139.512903, "relative_strength": -9.615308, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.499145, "energy": 20.140639, "activity_lines": [ 221.393803, 230.707403, 225.85933, 216.259733 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 178.873947, "volume": 48, "typical_volume": 14.2, "trend": 202.650182, "fair_value": 140.023067, "relative_strength": -17.181494, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -25.489167, "energy": 39.857407, "activity_lines": [ 204.113271, 220.649476, 222.284461, 214.774141 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 172.188553, "volume": 45, "typical_volume": 13.8, "trend": 203.107531, "fair_value": 140.502701, "relative_strength": -22.144383, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -49.99373, "energy": 63.315502, "activity_lines": [ 189.757594, 210.215315, 218.108846, 212.808874 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 181.042709, "volume": 42, "typical_volume": 15.0, "trend": 204.118979, "fair_value": 141.021964, "relative_strength": -16.072439, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.468431, "energy": 70.575762, "activity_lines": [ 183.322243, 202.526395, 214.847873, 211.385337 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 211.067123, "volume": 80, "typical_volume": 19.0, "trend": 205.600769, "fair_value": 141.771867, "relative_strength": 3.21634, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.45091, "energy": 56.500164, "activity_lines": [ 190.132934, 201.49064, 214.447314, 211.833605 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 199.037476, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19.0, "trend": 206.31559, "fair_value": 142.497938, "relative_strength": -0.260468, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.393639, "energy": 33.875138, "activity_lines": [ 193.722337, 198.86893, 212.769451, 211.410166 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 202.339157, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19.0, "trend": 207.030144, "fair_value": 143.266472, "relative_strength": 2.634203, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.907715, "energy": 14.747328, "activity_lines": [ 198.354735, 197.55264, 211.335193, 211.153622 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 196.763229, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17.85, "trend": 207.482657, "fair_value": 143.963301, "relative_strength": -1.649137, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.509648, "energy": 12.152592, "activity_lines": [ 199.564144, 196.201355, 209.301681, 210.491241 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 195.36676, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17.85, "trend": 207.978662, "fair_value": 144.689606, "relative_strength": -5.751731, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.128087, "energy": 13.750615, "activity_lines": [ 198.669751, 195.504521, 207.248294, 209.70957 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 192.713455, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17.85, "trend": 208.137286, "fair_value": 145.40459, "relative_strength": -12.687542, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.080694, "energy": 17.273994, "activity_lines": [ 195.935986, 194.947894, 205.084916, 208.724718 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 226.129089, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17.85, "trend": 209.457433, "fair_value": 146.315828, "relative_strength": -0.247653, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.279472, "energy": 9.671437, "activity_lines": [ 205.564344, 201.015612, 206.190385, 209.885479 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 214.358795, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17.85, "trend": 210.388548, "fair_value": 147.166026, "relative_strength": -2.245704, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.773672, "energy": 14.928478, "activity_lines": [ 209.463163, 204.435002, 206.141475, 210.201696 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 215.406158, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17.85, "trend": 211.329416, "fair_value": 148.008021, "relative_strength": -2.63746, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 9.946107, "energy": 15.127257, "activity_lines": [ 212.909794, 207.399643, 206.243153, 210.525413 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 199.496323, "volume": 50, "typical_volume": 20.35, "trend": 211.937914, "fair_value": 148.765917, "relative_strength": -11.28615, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.096942, "energy": 18.50023, "activity_lines": [ 209.810284, 206.685811, 204.921176, 209.761988 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 187.386902, "volume": 50, "typical_volume": 22.85, "trend": 212.069939, "fair_value": 149.4046, "relative_strength": -16.284877, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.472078, "energy": 21.686467, "activity_lines": [ 202.398997, 203.434747, 202.670808, 208.178051 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 182.499252, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 22.85, "trend": 212.014544, "fair_value": 150.003041, "relative_strength": -20.099741, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.082119, "energy": 52.823224, "activity_lines": [ 193.713597, 199.725568, 200.225184, 206.270265 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 194.179993, "volume": 22, "typical_volume": 21.55, "trend": 212.220067, "fair_value": 150.641659, "relative_strength": -17.233261, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.319521, "energy": 54.616332, "activity_lines": [ 191.830432, 198.440856, 199.155437, 205.119649 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 201.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.55, "trend": 211.569447, "fair_value": 151.286578, "relative_strength": -13.363369, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.169541, "energy": 54.80638, "activity_lines": [ 193.565857, 198.544493, 199.030423, 204.395774 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 193.139999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.0, "trend": 210.496276, "fair_value": 151.910439, "relative_strength": -18.977149, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.90612, "energy": 48.816789, "activity_lines": [ 193.641692, 197.142007, 198.374565, 203.206777 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 210.050003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.0, "trend": 210.469331, "fair_value": 152.653632, "relative_strength": -15.491935, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.124927, "energy": 10.630936, "activity_lines": [ 199.77795, 198.854553, 199.502856, 203.177985 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 228.300003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.85, "trend": 210.775478, "fair_value": 153.483032, "relative_strength": -6.552785, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 13.973334, "energy": 21.470339, "activity_lines": [ 210.486668, 203.570072, 202.430414, 204.328351 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 235.699997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 14.45, "trend": 211.130979, "fair_value": 154.352663, "relative_strength": -5.979227, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.90532, "energy": 52.011008, "activity_lines": [ 220.608667, 209.591573, 205.919276, 205.936385 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 237.800003, "volume": 34, "typical_volume": 13.9, "trend": 211.236471, "fair_value": 155.210852, "relative_strength": -4.052225, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 49.029903, "energy": 70.329137, "activity_lines": [ 228.662668, 215.606871, 209.337538, 207.656967 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 233.399994, "volume": 116, "typical_volume": 17.6, "trend": 210.792382, "fair_value": 156.028955, "relative_strength": -4.139414, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.559598, "energy": 73.195059, "activity_lines": [ 232.796665, 220.415007, 212.024316, 209.086872 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 233.899994, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 13.6, "trend": 210.45118, "fair_value": 156.835346, "relative_strength": -5.363665, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.750636, "energy": 82.657268, "activity_lines": [ 234.41333, 224.697621, 214.509393, 210.577685 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 254.0, "volume": 46, "typical_volume": 15.9, "trend": 210.990554, "fair_value": 157.869118, "relative_strength": 2.452262, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.918035, "energy": 87.748165, "activity_lines": [ 241.139997, 231.789089, 218.800029, 213.387287 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 267.75, "volume": 82, "typical_volume": 20.0, "trend": 211.37643, "fair_value": 158.943818, "relative_strength": 4.576425, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.782284, "energy": 92.23384, "activity_lines": [ 250.736665, 240.080544, 224.138462, 217.049186 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }