{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6d7d0185-ddbc-4b8b-8ca7-a61e99c8724c", "symbol": "002057", "name": "Sinosteel New Materials Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.125, "architecture_energy": 72.965, "architecture_maturity": 14.64, "architecture_confidence": 78.366, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.73, "rotation_up": 10.71, "upward_expansion": 17.73, "deceleration": 35.37, "rotation_down": 75.8, "downward_expansion": 88.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.224667, 9.292313, 9.662483, 9.808409 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.73, "trend_reference": 10.069195, "distance_from_trend": -0.132999, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.505046, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.026449, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.136023, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.195392, "excess_performance": -0.202791, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.132999, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012704, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.026449, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125664, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.18136, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028348, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.195392, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.757455, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 128868129, "relative_activity": 1.363205, "balance": 0.757455, "dry_up": 1.642492, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.136671, "annualized_volatility": 0.660429, "from_high_reference": -0.327945, "from_low_reference": 0.171812 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.069195, "fair_value_reference": 8.505046, "structural_low": 7.45, 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"volume": 218269858, "typical_volume": 89813391.3, "trend": 10.288862, "fair_value": 8.531741, "relative_strength": -25.198915, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.737068, "energy": 22.160397, "activity_lines": [ 9.982485, 10.407017, 10.169852, 10.210446 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.61, "volume": 158437381, "typical_volume": 92101890.1, "trend": 10.194862, "fair_value": 8.518694, "relative_strength": -27.021432, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.168996, "energy": 55.679878, "activity_lines": [ 8.932, 9.909174, 9.935539, 10.037617 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.03, "volume": 115504744, "typical_volume": 93351790.6, "trend": 10.117862, "fair_value": 8.508769, "relative_strength": -21.177629, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.290128, "energy": 59.767887, "activity_lines": [ 8.322667, 9.525656, 9.758892, 9.897948 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.73, "volume": 128868129, "typical_volume": 94533214.1, "trend": 10.069195, "fair_value": 8.505046, "relative_strength": -18.136023, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.125473, "energy": 72.964736, "activity_lines": [ 8.224667, 9.292313, 9.662483, 9.808409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }