{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6d7dc69d-2913-40f8-8e2e-604195d969a3", "symbol": "7721", "name": "Microprogram Information Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 69.46, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.64, "architecture_energy": 44.777, "architecture_maturity": 5.433, "architecture_confidence": 69.176, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.11, "rotation_up": 15.69, "upward_expansion": 24.33, "deceleration": 50.64, "rotation_down": 58.81, "downward_expansion": 49.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 61.793333, 64.558609, 68.859341, 68.128658 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 63.5, "trend_reference": 64.658186, "distance_from_trend": -0.017912, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 66.101848, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.039361, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.883419, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.372689, "excess_performance": -0.068683, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.017912, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102263, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.039361, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.133476, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.248834, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028169, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.372689, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.167775, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 318205, "relative_activity": 0.101043, "balance": 1.167775, "dry_up": 0.134503, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.130575, "annualized_volatility": 0.72585, "from_high_reference": -0.307013, "from_low_reference": 0.430583 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 64.658186, "fair_value_reference": 66.101848, "structural_low": 45.717648, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"relative_strength": -26.157122, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.123529, "energy": 15.820486, "activity_lines": [ 65.84745, 69.51572, 71.716658, 68.610233 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 58.200001, "volume": 647068, "typical_volume": 3226997.6, "trend": 63.673774, "fair_value": 66.151875, "relative_strength": -29.000478, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.282758, "energy": 42.916859, "activity_lines": [ 62.72, 67.002887, 70.526414, 68.276302 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 62.0, "volume": 277003, "typical_volume": 3219897.75, "trend": 64.114705, "fair_value": 66.12112, "relative_strength": -25.117695, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.893959, "energy": 46.552366, "activity_lines": [ 61.590392, 65.555935, 69.655993, 68.168317 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 63.5, "volume": 318205, "typical_volume": 3149202.45, "trend": 64.658186, "fair_value": 66.101848, "relative_strength": -24.883419, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.640499, "energy": 44.776734, "activity_lines": [ 61.793333, 64.558609, 68.859341, 68.128658 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }