{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6d953061-50fe-4fdb-a67f-165c3412f205", "symbol": "ICC", "name": "I.C.C. International Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 50.272, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 26.254, "architecture_energy": 16.565, "architecture_maturity": 19.474, "architecture_confidence": 44.887, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.34, "rotation_up": 36.79, "upward_expansion": 64.27, "deceleration": 57.54, "rotation_down": 26.61, "downward_expansion": 14.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.326667, 24.358182, 24.271945, 24.209382 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 24.1, "trend_reference": 24.174286, "distance_from_trend": -0.003073, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.889208, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.008824, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.583624, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.003662, "excess_performance": -0.195987, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.003073, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013399, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.008824, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019028, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135836, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012657, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003662, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.079509, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 164900, "relative_activity": 7.301306, "balance": 0.079509, "dry_up": 4.241753, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021066, "annualized_volatility": 0.126162, "from_high_reference": -0.045814, "from_low_reference": 0.112503 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.174286, "fair_value_reference": 23.889208, "structural_low": 23.314285, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": 0.004635, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.112903, "worst_return": -0.138365, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.060606, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.052507, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.183824, "worst_return": -0.189744, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.034884, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.138446, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.264706, "worst_return": -0.176068, 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24.325506, 24.170285, 24.138937 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 24.0, "volume": 4700, "typical_volume": 5045.0, "trend": 24.103905, "fair_value": 23.873972, "relative_strength": -16.512916, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.062416, "energy": 15.796643, "activity_lines": [ 24.28, 24.283636, 24.159592, 24.133081 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.6, "volume": 7200, "typical_volume": 5125.0, "trend": 24.09819, "fair_value": 23.882144, "relative_strength": -14.697598, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.891384, "energy": 27.717664, "activity_lines": [ 24.353333, 24.345454, 24.207401, 24.165087 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.799999, "volume": 8700, "typical_volume": 5405.0, "trend": 24.150952, "fair_value": 23.886412, "relative_strength": -13.619022, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.085322, "energy": 35.545099, "activity_lines": [ 24.506666, 24.44, 24.272762, 24.210365 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.200001, "volume": 202400, "typical_volume": 14860.0, "trend": 24.164286, "fair_value": 23.887698, "relative_strength": -14.129553, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.180832, "energy": 22.961855, "activity_lines": [ 24.426667, 24.407273, 24.278068, 24.21353 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.1, "volume": 164900, "typical_volume": 22585.0, "trend": 24.174286, "fair_value": 23.889208, "relative_strength": -13.583624, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.253883, "energy": 16.564643, "activity_lines": [ 24.326667, 24.358182, 24.271945, 24.209382 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }