{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6da1947c-cc58-4e14-bd2f-77db3abd9285", "symbol": "CIE", "name": "CIE Automotive, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.287, "architecture_energy": 49.767, "architecture_maturity": 18.508, "architecture_confidence": 90.066, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.43, "rotation_up": 16.32, "upward_expansion": 7.4, "deceleration": 46.63, "rotation_down": 61.32, "downward_expansion": 80.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.059999, 26.319087, 27.113833, 27.507191 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 25.799999, "trend_reference": 28.08463, "distance_from_trend": -0.081348, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.199293, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.023838, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.227156, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.128378, "excess_performance": -0.252809, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.081348, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024788, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.023838, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153136, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.212272, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.186213, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.128378, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.333011, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 303298, "relative_activity": 0.979583, "balance": 0.333011, "dry_up": 1.155746, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05226, "annualized_volatility": 0.279976, "from_high_reference": -0.218182, "from_low_reference": 0.02994 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.08463, "fair_value_reference": 25.199293, 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"direction": -67.268303, "energy": 69.520203, "activity_lines": [ 26.65832, 27.2913, 27.77505, 28.114484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.9, "volume": 351708, "typical_volume": 337094.4, "trend": 28.42566, "fair_value": 25.182765, "relative_strength": -18.348887, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.985481, "energy": 72.179121, "activity_lines": [ 26.330256, 26.945102, 27.568436, 27.944885 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.799999, "volume": 417632, "typical_volume": 331822.85, "trend": 28.333963, "fair_value": 25.180255, "relative_strength": -19.722355, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.153422, "energy": 65.983518, "activity_lines": [ 26.10275, 26.645824, 27.380394, 27.775487 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.6, "volume": 358728, "typical_volume": 331399.2, "trend": 28.22463, "fair_value": 25.191339, "relative_strength": -17.60473, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.30509, "energy": 53.095161, "activity_lines": [ 26.233333, 26.533908, 27.283066, 27.663619 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.799999, "volume": 303298, "typical_volume": 309619.6, "trend": 28.08463, "fair_value": 25.199293, "relative_strength": -21.227156, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.287262, "energy": 49.767274, "activity_lines": [ 26.059999, 26.319087, 27.113833, 27.507191 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }