{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6da334c8-2293-4c59-90ce-abfa1ff4b3a2", "symbol": "000860", "name": "Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.028, "architecture_energy": 25.411, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.537, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.46, "rotation_up": 27.84, "upward_expansion": 21.84, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 27.1, "downward_expansion": 60.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.788667, 10.554182, 10.923333, 11.536559 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 10.78, "trend_reference": 12.44, "distance_from_trend": -0.133441, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.029117, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.366967, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.09204, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.274074, "excess_performance": -0.281474, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.133441, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113434, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.366967, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029433, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.25092, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081833, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.274074, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.730124, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49676601, "relative_activity": 1.442678, "balance": 0.730124, "dry_up": 1.88777, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072713, "annualized_volatility": 0.278562, "from_high_reference": -0.376879, "from_low_reference": 0.115942 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.44, "fair_value_reference": 17.029117, "structural_low": 9.66, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.029369, "positive_rate": 0.342105, "directional_follow_through": 0.657895, "median_excess_return": -0.033719, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.485567, "worst_return": -0.170127, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.053649, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.031513, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.434343, "worst_return": -0.260486, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.124527, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.100356, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.816739, "worst_return": -0.325503, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 10.05, "volume": 43010467, "typical_volume": 28023425.25, "trend": 12.975333, "fair_value": 17.53788, "relative_strength": -36.794818, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.198157, "energy": 75.63408, "activity_lines": [ 10.050667, 10.421455, 11.295524, 12.035914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.0, "volume": 80904573, "typical_volume": 30899156.55, "trend": 12.845333, "fair_value": 17.394493, "relative_strength": -23.107582, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.81029, "energy": 63.116812, "activity_lines": [ 10.352, 10.449091, 11.193286, 11.908473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.36, "volume": 67326915, "typical_volume": 32128871.95, "trend": 12.690333, "fair_value": 17.257099, "relative_strength": -27.020884, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.813359, "energy": 50.851421, "activity_lines": [ 10.403333, 10.387273, 11.04681, 11.748129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.2, "volume": 62102822, "typical_volume": 33702923.6, "trend": 12.569, "fair_value": 17.12947, "relative_strength": -19.041279, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.894717, "energy": 36.062763, "activity_lines": [ 10.714, 10.508727, 10.998095, 11.651978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.78, "volume": 49676601, "typical_volume": 34433612.25, "trend": 12.44, "fair_value": 17.029117, "relative_strength": -25.09204, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.027884, "energy": 25.411351, "activity_lines": [ 10.788667, 10.554182, 10.923333, 11.536559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }