{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6daf7d22-f509-4779-ac7e-147d4e3c6785",
    "symbol": "CTE",
    "name": "Cryosite Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 62.187,
    "architecture_energy": 62.206,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.956,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.973,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.7,
        "rotation_up": 64.12,
        "upward_expansion": 83.05,
        "deceleration": 53.63,
        "rotation_down": 14.04,
        "downward_expansion": 12.05
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.216667,
        1.203818,
        1.153619,
        1.143409
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1.2,
    "trend_reference": 1.13,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.061947,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.855218,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.403151,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.993558,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.090909,
    "excess_performance": 0.027203,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061947,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025719,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.403151,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.164282,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069936,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031277,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090909,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.368852,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.368852,
      "dry_up": 0.369613,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.041026,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.368772,
      "from_high_reference": -0.083969,
      "from_low_reference": 0.818182
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.13,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.855218,
      "structural_low": 1.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.006411,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.027266,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.317365,
        "worst_return": -0.309091,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.006068,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004672,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.359832,
        "worst_return": -0.297468,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.190297,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.158139,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.466667,
        "worst_return": -0.068323,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.161129,
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        "best_return": 0.558138,
        "worst_return": -0.017414,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.1,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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          1.108462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 1.15,
        "volume": 6546,
        "typical_volume": 9602.8,
        "trend": 1.097667,
        "fair_value": 0.804931,
        "relative_strength": 20.2228,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.942233,
        "energy": 24.968439,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.099667,
          1.116545,
          1.121786,
          1.112505
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 1.0,
        "volume": 45193,
        "typical_volume": 11379.9,
        "trend": 1.101667,
        "fair_value": 0.807188,
        "relative_strength": 3.865818,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -46.252749,
        "energy": 39.822117,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.068,
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          1.112167,
          1.106204
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 900,
        "typical_volume": 11424.9,
        "trend": 1.105667,
        "fair_value": 0.809445,
        "relative_strength": 4.779472,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.090016,
        "energy": 75.285004,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.042667,
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          1.099645
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 1.07,
        "volume": 2537,
        "typical_volume": 11380.7,
        "trend": 1.104667,
        "fair_value": 0.812038,
        "relative_strength": 11.085232,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.314294,
        "energy": 46.796711,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.046667,
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          1.099738,
          1.097344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 1.1,
        "volume": 27964,
        "typical_volume": 12778.9,
        "trend": 1.101667,
        "fair_value": 0.815975,
        "relative_strength": 12.502184,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "activity_lines": [
          1.062,
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          1.099405,
          1.097043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 1.06,
        "volume": 90022,
        "typical_volume": 16799.3,
        "trend": 1.097,
        "fair_value": 0.819318,
        "relative_strength": 9.087671,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.179401,
        "energy": 27.80518,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.060667,
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          1.094355
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 1.06,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 16641.4,
        "trend": 1.092333,
        "fair_value": 0.822577,
        "relative_strength": 6.268025,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.156902,
        "energy": 19.299656,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.065333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 31095,
        "typical_volume": 18196.15,
        "trend": 1.088,
        "fair_value": 0.825808,
        "relative_strength": 5.389833,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -12.391852,
        "energy": 9.987779,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.066,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 17696.15,
        "trend": 1.088667,
        "fair_value": 0.829671,
        "relative_strength": 14.335779,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.434141,
        "energy": 11.803212,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.092667,
          1.077091,
          1.088786,
          1.093882
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 1.25,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 16940.2,
        "trend": 1.092667,
        "fair_value": 0.834036,
        "relative_strength": 22.031825,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.711558,
        "energy": 54.76802,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.147333,
          1.109818,
          1.101786,
          1.10429
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 1.25,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 15795.75,
        "trend": 1.100667,
        "fair_value": 0.838401,
        "relative_strength": 21.370923,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.873517,
        "energy": 79.583192,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.192,
          1.138909,
          1.114524,
          1.114441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.3,
        "volume": 7614,
        "typical_volume": 15944.25,
        "trend": 1.110333,
        "fair_value": 0.843086,
        "relative_strength": 24.988268,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.409337,
        "energy": 88.436264,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.240667,
          1.175273,
          1.131786,
          1.127301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.2,
        "volume": 13312,
        "typical_volume": 14892.7,
        "trend": 1.116667,
        "fair_value": 0.84713,
        "relative_strength": 14.75665,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.639651,
        "energy": 78.980511,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.24,
          1.188,
          1.139071,
          1.133086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.2,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14764.95,
        "trend": 1.123333,
        "fair_value": 0.851174,
        "relative_strength": 11.296825,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.376686,
        "energy": 76.037429,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.23,
          1.197091,
          1.146357,
          1.138462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.2,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14154.0,
        "trend": 1.13,
        "fair_value": 0.855218,
        "relative_strength": 6.993558,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.187416,
        "energy": 62.205834,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.216667,
          1.203818,
          1.153619,
          1.143409
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}