{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6db820ab-85c4-4444-b36a-7a46a755a090", "symbol": "600595", "name": "Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.817, "architecture_energy": 22.481, "architecture_maturity": 79.561, "architecture_confidence": 71.367, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.51, "rotation_up": 27.46, "upward_expansion": 16.01, "deceleration": 46.93, "rotation_down": 24.34, "downward_expansion": 61.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.472667, 6.294182, 6.612884, 6.935905 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6.63, "trend_reference": 7.438303, "distance_from_trend": -0.108668, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.437343, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.494137, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.044693, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.300381, "excess_performance": -0.257177, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.108668, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038143, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.494137, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.368775, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.030447, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160963, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.300381, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.298299, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 618075160, "relative_activity": 1.710578, "balance": 1.298299, "dry_up": 1.726791, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095888, "annualized_volatility": 0.532162, "from_high_reference": -0.372733, "from_low_reference": 0.467236 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.438303, "fair_value_reference": 4.437343, "structural_low": 5.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.010791, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": 0.017517, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.311689, "worst_return": -0.183391, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.023568, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.00297, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.384279, "worst_return": -0.182143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.022882, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.032035, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.156364, "worst_return": -0.237975, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"gate": "down", "direction": -64.812712, "energy": 77.164323, "activity_lines": [ 5.945333, 6.215432, 6.751679, 7.122885 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.26, "volume": 706683992, "typical_volume": 356849187.35, "trend": 7.509563, "fair_value": 4.38567, "relative_strength": -4.531143, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.403509, "energy": 50.982067, "activity_lines": [ 6.061333, 6.17622, 6.668499, 7.039275 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.75, "volume": 496139691, "typical_volume": 355865949.95, "trend": 7.47268, "fair_value": 4.412047, "relative_strength": 1.922109, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.539861, "energy": 33.770782, "activity_lines": [ 6.327333, 6.241818, 6.642563, 6.990271 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.63, "volume": 618075160, "typical_volume": 361325335.4, "trend": 7.438303, "fair_value": 4.437343, "relative_strength": -3.044693, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.816956, "energy": 22.480728, "activity_lines": [ 6.472667, 6.294182, 6.612884, 6.935905 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }