{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6dbdcf36-693b-45f5-a3ac-2140646d934d", "symbol": "PSIG", "name": "PS International Group Ltd. Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.606, "architecture_energy": 87.008, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.55, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.51, "rotation_up": 8.58, "upward_expansion": 21.52, "deceleration": 37.2, "rotation_down": 83.01, "downward_expansion": 99.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.204, 2.283818, 4.359333, 4.945075 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 1.18, "trend_reference": 5.369, "distance_from_trend": -0.78022, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.9181, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.76007, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -78.301545, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.78777, "excess_performance": -0.975223, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.78022, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012931, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.76007, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.120419, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.783015, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.09682, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.78777, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.103617, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 245607, "relative_activity": 0.050451, "balance": 1.103617, "dry_up": 0.105974, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 1.232725, "annualized_volatility": 2.97265, "from_high_reference": -0.901667, "from_low_reference": 0.145631 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.369, "fair_value_reference": 4.9181, "structural_low": 1.03, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 1.770142, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.131034, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.017241, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 27.28, "volume": 590304, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ 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"direction": -48.35994, "energy": 61.828708, "activity_lines": [ 1.976, 4.547273, 5.679667, 5.79372 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.26, "volume": 253779, "typical_volume": 4843433.15, "trend": 5.59, "fair_value": 4.988819, "relative_strength": -75.905161, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.171722, "energy": 88.27875, "activity_lines": [ 1.268667, 3.691636, 5.22219, 5.507914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.16, "volume": 314330, "typical_volume": 4856535.05, "trend": 5.474, "fair_value": 4.953035, "relative_strength": -77.756367, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.551074, "energy": 89.019806, "activity_lines": [ 1.223333, 2.926727, 4.779476, 5.222108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.18, "volume": 245607, "typical_volume": 4868234.95, "trend": 5.369, "fair_value": 4.9181, "relative_strength": -78.301545, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.606205, "energy": 87.008271, "activity_lines": [ 1.204, 2.283818, 4.359333, 4.945075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }