{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6dc0c657-0f55-4423-9566-a4441ed0981b", "symbol": "MPG", "name": "Metro Performance Glass Limited", "exchange": "NZE", "country": "NZ", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NZ50", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 68.338, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -32.258, "architecture_energy": 54.754, "architecture_maturity": 34.654, "architecture_confidence": 77.496, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.51, "rotation_up": 16.67, "upward_expansion": 52.28, "deceleration": 85.17, "rotation_down": 58.59, "downward_expansion": 41.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.981667, 1.099091, 1.121262, 1.059357 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.87, "trend_reference": 0.877167, "distance_from_trend": -0.00817, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.223868, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.886226, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 59.601273, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 21.307692, "excess_performance": 21.279419, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00817, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.737537, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.886226, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -3.266822, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.596013, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -2.37284, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 21.307692, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.128315, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35298, "relative_activity": 4.560053, "balance": 0.128315, "dry_up": 2.453783, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076481, "annualized_volatility": 5.076856, "from_high_reference": -0.45625, "from_low_reference": 34.187058 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.877167, "fair_value_reference": 0.223868, "structural_low": 0.038, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.074504, "energy": 92.640866, "activity_lines": [ 1.303333, 1.224091, 1.152729, 0.974454 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.27, "volume": 4104, "typical_volume": 46121.6, "trend": 0.7514, "fair_value": 0.202313, "relative_strength": 169.980739, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.623907, "energy": 88.800027, "activity_lines": [ 1.299667, 1.244909, 1.174357, 1.01054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.1, "volume": 7654, "typical_volume": 11346.1, "trend": 0.786467, "fair_value": 0.208387, "relative_strength": 125.55097, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.23746, "energy": 66.176328, "activity_lines": [ 1.234667, 1.229909, 1.173929, 1.03303 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.075, "volume": 179, "typical_volume": 10859.2, "trend": 0.8207, "fair_value": 0.214327, "relative_strength": 110.667634, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.387094, "energy": 47.649659, "activity_lines": [ 1.171, 1.208545, 1.166071, 1.051645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.92, "volume": 32845, "typical_volume": 11463.85, "trend": 0.849767, "fair_value": 0.219247, "relative_strength": 75.42156, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -6.38858, "energy": 37.686141, "activity_lines": [ 1.071, 1.157636, 1.145381, 1.058052 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.87, "volume": 35298, "typical_volume": 7740.7, "trend": 0.877167, "fair_value": 0.223868, "relative_strength": 59.601273, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -32.25778, "energy": 54.754308, "activity_lines": [ 0.981667, 1.099091, 1.121262, 1.059357 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }