{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6dc5846c-d190-45e8-a9a3-8eed6113e98a", "symbol": "LOUP", "name": "INNOVATOR ETFS TRUST DEEPWATER FRONTIER TECH ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 40.513, "architecture_energy": 26.933, "architecture_maturity": 71.228, "architecture_confidence": 87.232, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.53, "rotation_up": 27.43, "upward_expansion": 57.12, "deceleration": 88.2, "rotation_down": 35.89, "downward_expansion": 20.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 88.9171, 90.484713, 89.792958, 86.486825 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 93.4293, "trend_reference": 82.838493, "distance_from_trend": 0.127849, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 58.445611, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.598568, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.349047, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.259834, "excess_performance": 0.134209, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.127849, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060905, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.598568, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010999, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.05349, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0353, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.259834, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.753337, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 61227, "relative_activity": 0.821369, "balance": 0.753337, "dry_up": 0.746261, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067666, "annualized_volatility": 0.31972, "from_high_reference": -0.068547, "from_low_reference": 0.523884 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 82.838493, "fair_value_reference": 58.445611, "structural_low": 64.87, "invalidation": "A 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88.455247, 84.977672 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 86.96, "volume": 54008, "typical_volume": 73343.75, "trend": 81.908633, "fair_value": 57.504475, "relative_strength": 2.805146, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.989965, "energy": 34.685328, "activity_lines": [ 92.04616, 92.664304, 88.79405, 85.325265 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 85.97, "volume": 47385, "typical_volume": 72490.25, "trend": 82.179967, "fair_value": 57.796203, "relative_strength": 1.977966, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.975267, "energy": 23.857117, "activity_lines": [ 89.68408, 91.516, 88.980854, 85.587289 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 85.11, "volume": 59893, "typical_volume": 73677.95, "trend": 82.416517, "fair_value": 58.088956, "relative_strength": -0.355063, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.237435, "energy": 22.709872, "activity_lines": [ 87.67, 90.208602, 89.023515, 85.776323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 93.4293, "volume": 61227, "typical_volume": 74542.6, "trend": 82.838493, "fair_value": 58.445611, "relative_strength": 5.349047, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.513271, "energy": 26.933351, "activity_lines": [ 88.9171, 90.484713, 89.792958, 86.486825 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }